Recent short-range model guidance from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 28 near 22–24 °C, driven by moderate easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a chance of light showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Elevated dew points near 21 °C and light winds further suppress the overnight drop by reducing the temperature-dewpoint spread and inhibiting clear-sky heat loss. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered between 18 °C and 22 °C, traders are weighing small differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; a few hours of clearer skies could allow an extra 1–2 °C of cooling, while persistent low stratus or earlier rain would keep readings closer to 23 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日米兰最低气温？
8月28日米兰最低气温？
20°C 35%
21°C 35%
19°C 32%
22°C 31%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
16°C or below
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
30%
19°C
32%
20°C
35%
21°C
35%
22°C
31%
23°C
29%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
20°C 35%
21°C 35%
19°C 32%
22°C 31%
最新
最新
2026-08-28
16°C or below
$114 交易量
5%
17°C
$136 交易量
16%
18°C
$0 交易量
30%
19°C
$0 交易量
32%
20°C
$0 交易量
35%
21°C
$10 交易量
35%
22°C
$0 交易量
31%
23°C
$0 交易量
29%
24°C
$37 交易量
2%
25°C
$37 交易量
1%
26°C or higher
$37 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 28 near 22–24 °C, driven by moderate easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a chance of light showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Elevated dew points near 21 °C and light winds further suppress the overnight drop by reducing the temperature-dewpoint spread and inhibiting clear-sky heat loss. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered between 18 °C and 22 °C, traders are weighing small differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; a few hours of clearer skies could allow an extra 1–2 °C of cooling, while persistent low stratus or earlier rain would keep readings closer to 23 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$371结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 28 near 22–24 °C, driven by moderate easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a chance of light showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Elevated dew points near 21 °C and light winds further suppress the overnight drop by reducing the temperature-dewpoint spread and inhibiting clear-sky heat loss. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered between 18 °C and 22 °C, traders are weighing small differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; a few hours of clearer skies could allow an extra 1–2 °C of cooling, while persistent low stratus or earlier rain would keep readings closer to 23 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$371结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-range model guidance from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 28 near 22–24 °C, driven by moderate easterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a chance of light showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Elevated dew points near 21 °C and light winds further suppress the overnight drop by reducing the temperature-dewpoint spread and inhibiting clear-sky heat loss. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered between 18 °C and 22 °C, traders are weighing small differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; a few hours of clearer skies could allow an extra 1–2 °C of cooling, while persistent low stratus or earlier rain would keep readings closer to 23 °C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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