Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models show Milan overnight minima clustering between 21–23 °C on 27 August, with limited radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and dew points near 19–20 °C limiting further drops. Trader consensus across the 19–22 °C outcomes reflects this narrow spread plus typical urban-heat-island and micro-climate variability within the city. Any increase in low-level moisture or cloud cover overnight could suppress the minimum by 1–2 °C, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower end; next model cycles and local observations will refine the exact value before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日米兰最低气温?
19°C 27%
20°C 27%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
16°C or below
6%
17°C
1%
18°C
23%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
23%
24°C
9%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
9%
19°C 27%
20°C 27%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
16°C or below
6%
17°C
1%
18°C
23%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
23%
24°C
9%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models show Milan overnight minima clustering between 21–23 °C on 27 August, with limited radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and dew points near 19–20 °C limiting further drops. Trader consensus across the 19–22 °C outcomes reflects this narrow spread plus typical urban-heat-island and micro-climate variability within the city. Any increase in low-level moisture or cloud cover overnight could suppress the minimum by 1–2 °C, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower end; next model cycles and local observations will refine the exact value before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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