Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Paris on May 20 centered near 12–13 °C, with the narrow spread between these outcomes reflecting uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clearer skies would enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increased moisture and light southerly flow could limit the drop to around 13 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average overnight lows near 9–10 °C, but current upper-level ridging is supporting milder conditions overall. Updated high-resolution runs expected from Météo-France in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probabilities further as the event approaches resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月20日巴黎最低气温？
5月20日巴黎最低气温？
12°C 23%
13°C 21%
11°C 18%
10°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-05-20
6°C或以下
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
9%
9°C
10%
10°C
12%
11°C
13%
12°C
23%
13°C
21%
14°C
11%
15°C
8%
16°C或更高
1%
12°C 23%
13°C 21%
11°C 18%
10°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-05-20
6°C或以下
$126 交易量
1%
7°C
$165 交易量
1%
8°C
$14 交易量
9%
9°C
$30 交易量
10%
10°C
$24 交易量
12%
11°C
$25 交易量
13%
12°C
$25 交易量
23%
13°C
$14 交易量
21%
14°C
$14 交易量
11%
15°C
$14 交易量
8%
16°C或更高
$111 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Paris on May 20 centered near 12–13 °C, with the narrow spread between these outcomes reflecting uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clearer skies would enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increased moisture and light southerly flow could limit the drop to around 13 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average overnight lows near 9–10 °C, but current upper-level ridging is supporting milder conditions overall. Updated high-resolution runs expected from Météo-France in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probabilities further as the event approaches resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$563结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Paris on May 20 centered near 12–13 °C, with the narrow spread between these outcomes reflecting uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clearer skies would enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increased moisture and light southerly flow could limit the drop to around 13 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average overnight lows near 9–10 °C, but current upper-level ridging is supporting milder conditions overall. Updated high-resolution runs expected from Météo-France in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probabilities further as the event approaches resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$563结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Paris on May 20 centered near 12–13 °C, with the narrow spread between these outcomes reflecting uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clearer skies would enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increased moisture and light southerly flow could limit the drop to around 13 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average overnight lows near 9–10 °C, but current upper-level ridging is supporting milder conditions overall. Updated high-resolution runs expected from Météo-France in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probabilities further as the event approaches resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题