Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 14 is locked at 26°C in trader consensus because official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C amid persistent overcast skies, moderate rain, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where humid subtropical conditions and cloud cover keep diurnal ranges narrow around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show no significant deviations from this baseline, reinforcing the market-implied certainty. Only an unexpected clear-sky breakout allowing greater heat loss or a localized measurement anomaly at the official station could shift the recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日上海最低气温？
8月14日上海最低气温？
26°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$32,576 交易量
$32,576 交易量
2026-08-14
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
26°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$32,576 交易量
$32,576 交易量
2026-08-14
20°C或以下
$617 交易量
否
21°C
$356 交易量
否
22°C
$765 交易量
否
23°C
$1,599 交易量
否
24°C
$1,668 交易量
否
25°C
$3,933 交易量
否
26°C
$11,578 交易量
是
27°C
$6,351 交易量
否
28°C
$2,147 交易量
否
29°C
$2,078 交易量
否
30°C或更高
$1,485 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 14 is locked at 26°C in trader consensus because official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C amid persistent overcast skies, moderate rain, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where humid subtropical conditions and cloud cover keep diurnal ranges narrow around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show no significant deviations from this baseline, reinforcing the market-implied certainty. Only an unexpected clear-sky breakout allowing greater heat loss or a localized measurement anomaly at the official station could shift the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$32,576结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 14 is locked at 26°C in trader consensus because official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C amid persistent overcast skies, moderate rain, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where humid subtropical conditions and cloud cover keep diurnal ranges narrow around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show no significant deviations from this baseline, reinforcing the market-implied certainty. Only an unexpected clear-sky breakout allowing greater heat loss or a localized measurement anomaly at the official station could shift the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,576结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 14 is locked at 26°C in trader consensus because official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C amid persistent overcast skies, moderate rain, and light easterly winds that suppress radiative cooling. This aligns with typical August climatology for the region, where humid subtropical conditions and cloud cover keep diurnal ranges narrow around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show no significant deviations from this baseline, reinforcing the market-implied certainty. Only an unexpected clear-sky breakout allowing greater heat loss or a localized measurement anomaly at the official station could shift the recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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