Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 16 will settle near 26°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, passing showers, and broken cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when average lows range 25–26°C and humidity remains elevated around 75–80%. Trader consensus at 99.6% for exactly 26°C reflects this strong model agreement and recent observational trends showing stable warm nights without significant frontal passages. Minor deviations remain possible if localized heavy rainfall enhances evaporative cooling or if updated runs shift the minimum by 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the narrow forecast spread and proximity to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日上海最低气温？
8月16日上海最低气温？
26°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$22,454 交易量
$22,454 交易量
2026-08-16
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
26°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$22,454 交易量
$22,454 交易量
2026-08-16
20°C或以下
$323 交易量
否
21°C
$323 交易量
否
22°C
$538 交易量
否
23°C
$2,207 交易量
否
24°C
$2,186 交易量
否
25°C
$4,942 交易量
否
26°C
$8,005 交易量
是
27°C
$1,090 交易量
否
28°C
$2,174 交易量
否
29°C
$323 交易量
否
30°C或更高
$345 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 16 will settle near 26°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, passing showers, and broken cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when average lows range 25–26°C and humidity remains elevated around 75–80%. Trader consensus at 99.6% for exactly 26°C reflects this strong model agreement and recent observational trends showing stable warm nights without significant frontal passages. Minor deviations remain possible if localized heavy rainfall enhances evaporative cooling or if updated runs shift the minimum by 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the narrow forecast spread and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$22,454结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 16 will settle near 26°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, passing showers, and broken cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when average lows range 25–26°C and humidity remains elevated around 75–80%. Trader consensus at 99.6% for exactly 26°C reflects this strong model agreement and recent observational trends showing stable warm nights without significant frontal passages. Minor deviations remain possible if localized heavy rainfall enhances evaporative cooling or if updated runs shift the minimum by 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the narrow forecast spread and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,454结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 16 will settle near 26°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, passing showers, and broken cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when average lows range 25–26°C and humidity remains elevated around 75–80%. Trader consensus at 99.6% for exactly 26°C reflects this strong model agreement and recent observational trends showing stable warm nights without significant frontal passages. Minor deviations remain possible if localized heavy rainfall enhances evaporative cooling or if updated runs shift the minimum by 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the narrow forecast spread and proximity to resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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