Global forecast models from the ECMWF and GFS show tight ensemble convergence on an overnight low of 19°C in Shanghai for May 17, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, influenced by East Asian monsoon maritime air masses and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could allow slightly higher readings, while a weak trough or stronger sea-breeze advection might lower the minimum by one degree. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model runs for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the final observed low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日上海最低气温？
5月17日上海最低气温？
19°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,079 交易量
$11,079 交易量
2026-05-17
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
99%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
19°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C <1%
$11,079 交易量
$11,079 交易量
2026-05-17
14°C或以下
$776 交易量
<1%
15°C
$626 交易量
<1%
16°C
$563 交易量
<1%
17°C
$934 交易量
<1%
18°C
$901 交易量
1%
19°C
$2,045 交易量
99%
20°C
$2,433 交易量
1%
21°C
$913 交易量
<1%
22°C
$528 交易量
<1%
23°C
$583 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$778 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Global forecast models from the ECMWF and GFS show tight ensemble convergence on an overnight low of 19°C in Shanghai for May 17, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, influenced by East Asian monsoon maritime air masses and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could allow slightly higher readings, while a weak trough or stronger sea-breeze advection might lower the minimum by one degree. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model runs for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the final observed low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
交易量
$11,079结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Global forecast models from the ECMWF and GFS show tight ensemble convergence on an overnight low of 19°C in Shanghai for May 17, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, influenced by East Asian monsoon maritime air masses and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could allow slightly higher readings, while a weak trough or stronger sea-breeze advection might lower the minimum by one degree. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model runs for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the final observed low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$11,079结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETGlobal forecast models from the ECMWF and GFS show tight ensemble convergence on an overnight low of 19°C in Shanghai for May 17, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology under neutral spring conditions typically produces Shanghai minima between 17°C and 21°C, influenced by East Asian monsoon maritime air masses and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. A persistent high-pressure ridge could allow slightly higher readings, while a weak trough or stronger sea-breeze advection might lower the minimum by one degree. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF model runs for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns that could alter the final observed low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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