**Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as Singapore’s lowest temperature on August 29, 2026 (96% implied probability), reflecting model consensus and the city-state’s equatorial climate stability.** Singapore’s tropical rainforest setting produces narrow daily temperature ranges year-round, with August minimums typically 25–27°C under Southwest Monsoon conditions. Official forecasts from agencies including the Meteorological Service Singapore and international models (e.g., GFS) consistently project an overnight low of 27–28°C for this date, with early-morning readings near 27°C before daytime heating. Recent August 2026 observations show minimums mostly 25–28°C, with the final days trending warmer and remaining above 27°C, supporting the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges include localized heavy showers or stronger southeasterly winds that could briefly suppress temperatures toward 27°C at the official reporting station, though model agreement and the absence of significant cooling signals make this outcome low-probability. The 96% weighting captures traders’ assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions and limited forecast uncertainty for the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月29日的最低温度?
28°C 96%
27°C 3%
26°C 2%
24°C 1.0%
$1,099 交易量
$1,099 交易量
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
26%
28°C
96%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 96%
27°C 3%
26°C 2%
24°C 1.0%
$1,099 交易量
$1,099 交易量
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
26%
28°C
96%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as Singapore’s lowest temperature on August 29, 2026 (96% implied probability), reflecting model consensus and the city-state’s equatorial climate stability.** Singapore’s tropical rainforest setting produces narrow daily temperature ranges year-round, with August minimums typically 25–27°C under Southwest Monsoon conditions. Official forecasts from agencies including the Meteorological Service Singapore and international models (e.g., GFS) consistently project an overnight low of 27–28°C for this date, with early-morning readings near 27°C before daytime heating. Recent August 2026 observations show minimums mostly 25–28°C, with the final days trending warmer and remaining above 27°C, supporting the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges include localized heavy showers or stronger southeasterly winds that could briefly suppress temperatures toward 27°C at the official reporting station, though model agreement and the absence of significant cooling signals make this outcome low-probability. The 96% weighting captures traders’ assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions and limited forecast uncertainty for the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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