Recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party running neck-and-neck in popular vote support around 30 percent each ahead of the October 2026 general election, yet the PQ maintains a clear edge in seat projections thanks to stronger backing among Francophone voters. The Coalition Avenir Québec has gained modest ground under new leadership but remains well behind in both metrics. These trends, combined with the first-past-the-post system that rewards regional concentration, underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ victory while assigning the PLQ a solid but distant second-place probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于魁人党 59%
魁北克自由党 30%
魁人党 10%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$505,101 交易量
$505,101 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
59%
魁北克自由党
30%
魁人党
10%
魁北克保守党
1%
魁北克绿党
<1%
魁团
<1%
魁人党 59%
魁北克自由党 30%
魁人党 10%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$505,101 交易量
$505,101 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
$52,348 交易量
59%
魁北克自由党
$56,150 交易量
30%
魁人党
$59,486 交易量
10%
魁北克保守党
$164,004 交易量
1%
魁北克绿党
$114,822 交易量
<1%
魁团
$58,291 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party running neck-and-neck in popular vote support around 30 percent each ahead of the October 2026 general election, yet the PQ maintains a clear edge in seat projections thanks to stronger backing among Francophone voters. The Coalition Avenir Québec has gained modest ground under new leadership but remains well behind in both metrics. These trends, combined with the first-past-the-post system that rewards regional concentration, underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ victory while assigning the PLQ a solid but distant second-place probability.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$505,101结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party running neck-and-neck in popular vote support around 30 percent each ahead of the October 2026 general election, yet the PQ maintains a clear edge in seat projections thanks to stronger backing among Francophone voters. The Coalition Avenir Québec has gained modest ground under new leadership but remains well behind in both metrics. These trends, combined with the first-past-the-post system that rewards regional concentration, underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ victory while assigning the PLQ a solid but distant second-place probability.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$505,101结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party running neck-and-neck in popular vote support around 30 percent each ahead of the October 2026 general election, yet the PQ maintains a clear edge in seat projections thanks to stronger backing among Francophone voters. The Coalition Avenir Québec has gained modest ground under new leadership but remains well behind in both metrics. These trends, combined with the first-past-the-post system that rewards regional concentration, underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ victory while assigning the PLQ a solid but distant second-place probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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