PQ leads recent Quebec polling averages near 30 percent with strong francophone support that favors seat efficiency, positioning the party for a likely majority under first-past-the-post rules ahead of the October 5, 2026 election. The CAQ’s sharp decline followed François Legault’s January 2026 resignation and ongoing scrutiny of prior economic initiatives, leaving new leader Christine Fréchette with limited recovery in August surveys. The PLQ under Charles Milliard sits close behind but trails in key regions outside Montreal. Minor parties remain marginal. Trader consensus reflects these sustained vote and seat projections rather than any single late-breaking event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于魁人党 70%
魁人党 15%
魁北克自由党 14%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$762,189 交易量
$762,189 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
70%
魁人党
15%
魁北克自由党
14%
魁北克保守党
<1%
魁团
<1%
魁北克绿党
<1%
魁人党 70%
魁人党 15%
魁北克自由党 14%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$762,189 交易量
$762,189 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
$82,761 交易量
70%
魁人党
$109,138 交易量
15%
魁北克自由党
$102,381 交易量
14%
魁北克保守党
$208,795 交易量
<1%
魁团
$101,615 交易量
<1%
魁北克绿党
$157,498 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).PQ leads recent Quebec polling averages near 30 percent with strong francophone support that favors seat efficiency, positioning the party for a likely majority under first-past-the-post rules ahead of the October 5, 2026 election. The CAQ’s sharp decline followed François Legault’s January 2026 resignation and ongoing scrutiny of prior economic initiatives, leaving new leader Christine Fréchette with limited recovery in August surveys. The PLQ under Charles Milliard sits close behind but trails in key regions outside Montreal. Minor parties remain marginal. Trader consensus reflects these sustained vote and seat projections rather than any single late-breaking event.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$762,189结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).PQ leads recent Quebec polling averages near 30 percent with strong francophone support that favors seat efficiency, positioning the party for a likely majority under first-past-the-post rules ahead of the October 5, 2026 election. The CAQ’s sharp decline followed François Legault’s January 2026 resignation and ongoing scrutiny of prior economic initiatives, leaving new leader Christine Fréchette with limited recovery in August surveys. The PLQ under Charles Milliard sits close behind but trails in key regions outside Montreal. Minor parties remain marginal. Trader consensus reflects these sustained vote and seat projections rather than any single late-breaking event.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$762,189结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...PQ leads recent Quebec polling averages near 30 percent with strong francophone support that favors seat efficiency, positioning the party for a likely majority under first-past-the-post rules ahead of the October 5, 2026 election. The CAQ’s sharp decline followed François Legault’s January 2026 resignation and ongoing scrutiny of prior economic initiatives, leaving new leader Christine Fréchette with limited recovery in August surveys. The PLQ under Charles Milliard sits close behind but trails in key regions outside Montreal. Minor parties remain marginal. Trader consensus reflects these sustained vote and seat projections rather than any single late-breaking event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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