The Parti Québécois maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election due to consistent polling leads near 30% and its decisive edge among Francophone voters, which concentrates support in key ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show the PQ ahead of the PLQ and CAQ, with the latter two parties splitting the federalist vote and limiting their seat potential despite combined support levels. The CAQ's sharp decline under new leader Christine Fréchette, ongoing voter indecision near 50%, and PQ by-election gains have reinforced this outlook. Smaller parties remain marginal in projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于魁人党 71%
魁北克自由党 15%
魁人党 15%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$763,028 交易量
$763,028 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
71%
魁北克自由党
15%
魁人党
15%
魁北克保守党
<1%
魁团
<1%
魁北克绿党
<1%
魁人党 71%
魁北克自由党 15%
魁人党 15%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$763,028 交易量
$763,028 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
$82,900 交易量
71%
魁北克自由党
$102,416 交易量
15%
魁人党
$109,178 交易量
15%
魁北克保守党
$209,420 交易量
<1%
魁团
$101,615 交易量
<1%
魁北克绿党
$157,498 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election due to consistent polling leads near 30% and its decisive edge among Francophone voters, which concentrates support in key ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show the PQ ahead of the PLQ and CAQ, with the latter two parties splitting the federalist vote and limiting their seat potential despite combined support levels. The CAQ's sharp decline under new leader Christine Fréchette, ongoing voter indecision near 50%, and PQ by-election gains have reinforced this outlook. Smaller parties remain marginal in projections.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$763,028结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election due to consistent polling leads near 30% and its decisive edge among Francophone voters, which concentrates support in key ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show the PQ ahead of the PLQ and CAQ, with the latter two parties splitting the federalist vote and limiting their seat potential despite combined support levels. The CAQ's sharp decline under new leader Christine Fréchette, ongoing voter indecision near 50%, and PQ by-election gains have reinforced this outlook. Smaller parties remain marginal in projections.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$763,028结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election due to consistent polling leads near 30% and its decisive edge among Francophone voters, which concentrates support in key ridings under the first-past-the-post system. Recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data show the PQ ahead of the PLQ and CAQ, with the latter two parties splitting the federalist vote and limiting their seat potential despite combined support levels. The CAQ's sharp decline under new leader Christine Fréchette, ongoing voter indecision near 50%, and PQ by-election gains have reinforced this outlook. Smaller parties remain marginal in projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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