Eduardo Paes (PSD) leads the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 34-60% across first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting his record as mayor on tourism recovery and urban management plus a broad coalition that includes center-right allies for vice-governor. Recent developments include his February 2026 resignation announcement from city hall to focus on the October 4 election, ongoing ticket-building talks with regional figures, and the resignation of incumbent Cláudio Castro, which has not altered Paes’s frontrunner status. Lower probabilities for challengers such as Douglas Ruas (PL), Tarcísio Motta, and Anthony Garotinho align with their single-digit to low-teen polling shares amid limited consolidation of opposition support. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the dominant drivers ahead of the first-round vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于爱德华多·帕埃斯 86%
费利佩·库里 8.5%
道格拉斯·鲁阿斯 3.7%
Luizinho医生 <1%
$192,503 交易量
$192,503 交易量
2026-10-05
爱德华多·帕埃斯
86%
费利佩·库里
8%
道格拉斯·鲁阿斯
4%
Luizinho医生
1%
爱德华多·帕祖埃洛
<1%
塔尔西西奥·莫塔
<1%
安东尼·加罗蒂尼奥
<1%
安德烈·塞西利亚诺
<1%
威尔逊·维泽尔
<1%
弗雷德·帕切科
<1%
尼古拉·米奇奥内
<1%
安德烈·葡萄牙
<1%
林德伯格·法里亚斯
<1%
奇科·马查多
<1%
爱德华多·帕埃斯 86%
费利佩·库里 8.5%
道格拉斯·鲁阿斯 3.7%
Luizinho医生 <1%
$192,503 交易量
$192,503 交易量
2026-10-05
爱德华多·帕埃斯
$13,430 交易量
86%
费利佩·库里
$11,527 交易量
8%
道格拉斯·鲁阿斯
$3,438 交易量
4%
Luizinho医生
$5,164 交易量
1%
爱德华多·帕祖埃洛
$1,517 交易量
<1%
塔尔西西奥·莫塔
$2,846 交易量
<1%
安东尼·加罗蒂尼奥
$3,788 交易量
<1%
安德烈·塞西利亚诺
$6,397 交易量
<1%
威尔逊·维泽尔
$3,883 交易量
<1%
弗雷德·帕切科
$126,992 交易量
<1%
尼古拉·米奇奥内
$4,287 交易量
<1%
安德烈·葡萄牙
$1,699 交易量
<1%
林德伯格·法里亚斯
$2,908 交易量
<1%
奇科·马查多
$4,629 交易量
<1%
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) leads the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 34-60% across first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting his record as mayor on tourism recovery and urban management plus a broad coalition that includes center-right allies for vice-governor. Recent developments include his February 2026 resignation announcement from city hall to focus on the October 4 election, ongoing ticket-building talks with regional figures, and the resignation of incumbent Cláudio Castro, which has not altered Paes’s frontrunner status. Lower probabilities for challengers such as Douglas Ruas (PL), Tarcísio Motta, and Anthony Garotinho align with their single-digit to low-teen polling shares amid limited consolidation of opposition support. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the dominant drivers ahead of the first-round vote.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
交易量
$192,503结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) leads the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 34-60% across first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting his record as mayor on tourism recovery and urban management plus a broad coalition that includes center-right allies for vice-governor. Recent developments include his February 2026 resignation announcement from city hall to focus on the October 4 election, ongoing ticket-building talks with regional figures, and the resignation of incumbent Cláudio Castro, which has not altered Paes’s frontrunner status. Lower probabilities for challengers such as Douglas Ruas (PL), Tarcísio Motta, and Anthony Garotinho align with their single-digit to low-teen polling shares amid limited consolidation of opposition support. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the dominant drivers ahead of the first-round vote.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$192,503结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Paes (PSD) leads the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 34-60% across first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting his record as mayor on tourism recovery and urban management plus a broad coalition that includes center-right allies for vice-governor. Recent developments include his February 2026 resignation announcement from city hall to focus on the October 4 election, ongoing ticket-building talks with regional figures, and the resignation of incumbent Cláudio Castro, which has not altered Paes’s frontrunner status. Lower probabilities for challengers such as Douglas Ruas (PL), Tarcísio Motta, and Anthony Garotinho align with their single-digit to low-teen polling shares amid limited consolidation of opposition support. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the dominant drivers ahead of the first-round vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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