Recent U.S.-mediated diplomacy produced a three-day ceasefire in early May 2026 that included a large-scale prisoner exchange, yet Russian officials immediately described a comprehensive settlement as distant and complex. Core disputes over Ukrainian territorial concessions, long-term security guarantees, and limits on Ukrainian military capabilities remain unresolved, with both sides trading accusations of violations during the brief truce. Putin signaled openness to eventual direct talks only after a full treaty, while Ukrainian positions continue to reject major territorial compromises. These entrenched differences, coupled with stalled negotiations and no breakthrough on verification mechanisms, sustain trader consensus that a signed peace agreement by the June deadline is unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$439,585 交易量
$439,585 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$439,585 交易量
$439,585 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-mediated diplomacy produced a three-day ceasefire in early May 2026 that included a large-scale prisoner exchange, yet Russian officials immediately described a comprehensive settlement as distant and complex. Core disputes over Ukrainian territorial concessions, long-term security guarantees, and limits on Ukrainian military capabilities remain unresolved, with both sides trading accusations of violations during the brief truce. Putin signaled openness to eventual direct talks only after a full treaty, while Ukrainian positions continue to reject major territorial compromises. These entrenched differences, coupled with stalled negotiations and no breakthrough on verification mechanisms, sustain trader consensus that a signed peace agreement by the June deadline is unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
交易量
$439,585结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-mediated diplomacy produced a three-day ceasefire in early May 2026 that included a large-scale prisoner exchange, yet Russian officials immediately described a comprehensive settlement as distant and complex. Core disputes over Ukrainian territorial concessions, long-term security guarantees, and limits on Ukrainian military capabilities remain unresolved, with both sides trading accusations of violations during the brief truce. Putin signaled openness to eventual direct talks only after a full treaty, while Ukrainian positions continue to reject major territorial compromises. These entrenched differences, coupled with stalled negotiations and no breakthrough on verification mechanisms, sustain trader consensus that a signed peace agreement by the June deadline is unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$439,585结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-mediated diplomacy produced a three-day ceasefire in early May 2026 that included a large-scale prisoner exchange, yet Russian officials immediately described a comprehensive settlement as distant and complex. Core disputes over Ukrainian territorial concessions, long-term security guarantees, and limits on Ukrainian military capabilities remain unresolved, with both sides trading accusations of violations during the brief truce. Putin signaled openness to eventual direct talks only after a full treaty, while Ukrainian positions continue to reject major territorial compromises. These entrenched differences, coupled with stalled negotiations and no breakthrough on verification mechanisms, sustain trader consensus that a signed peace agreement by the June deadline is unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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