Recent reports of U.S. and Iranian negotiators nearing a one-page memorandum of understanding to halt the ongoing conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 30 days of deeper nuclear talks have propelled trader consensus to 57.5% for a deal before 2027. Indirect discussions mediated by Pakistan and Oman advanced in early May, with Iran reviewing a U.S. proposal for diluting highly enriched uranium stockpiles and imposing a 12-15 year enrichment moratorium in exchange for partial sanctions relief. President Trump's public endorsement of progress and short deadlines underscore urgency, though Iranian sources highlight persistent gaps on nuclear curbs and trust issues. Vice President Vance's recent emphasis on negotiation momentum further bolsters optimism amid de-escalation signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$1,314,459 交易量
$1,314,459 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$1,314,459 交易量
$1,314,459 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent reports of U.S. and Iranian negotiators nearing a one-page memorandum of understanding to halt the ongoing conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 30 days of deeper nuclear talks have propelled trader consensus to 57.5% for a deal before 2027. Indirect discussions mediated by Pakistan and Oman advanced in early May, with Iran reviewing a U.S. proposal for diluting highly enriched uranium stockpiles and imposing a 12-15 year enrichment moratorium in exchange for partial sanctions relief. President Trump's public endorsement of progress and short deadlines underscore urgency, though Iranian sources highlight persistent gaps on nuclear curbs and trust issues. Vice President Vance's recent emphasis on negotiation momentum further bolsters optimism amid de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
交易量
$1,314,459结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent reports of U.S. and Iranian negotiators nearing a one-page memorandum of understanding to halt the ongoing conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 30 days of deeper nuclear talks have propelled trader consensus to 57.5% for a deal before 2027. Indirect discussions mediated by Pakistan and Oman advanced in early May, with Iran reviewing a U.S. proposal for diluting highly enriched uranium stockpiles and imposing a 12-15 year enrichment moratorium in exchange for partial sanctions relief. President Trump's public endorsement of progress and short deadlines underscore urgency, though Iranian sources highlight persistent gaps on nuclear curbs and trust issues. Vice President Vance's recent emphasis on negotiation momentum further bolsters optimism amid de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$1,314,459结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reports of U.S. and Iranian negotiators nearing a one-page memorandum of understanding to halt the ongoing conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 30 days of deeper nuclear talks have propelled trader consensus to 57.5% for a deal before 2027. Indirect discussions mediated by Pakistan and Oman advanced in early May, with Iran reviewing a U.S. proposal for diluting highly enriched uranium stockpiles and imposing a 12-15 year enrichment moratorium in exchange for partial sanctions relief. President Trump's public endorsement of progress and short deadlines underscore urgency, though Iranian sources highlight persistent gaps on nuclear curbs and trust issues. Vice President Vance's recent emphasis on negotiation momentum further bolsters optimism amid de-escalation signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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