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政治·Jerome Powell

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

icon for When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
政治·Jerome Powell

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

May 15–22 46.0%

May 23–29 28.7%

May 30–June 5 6.2%

June 6–12 2.6%

Polymarket

$169,680 交易量

May 15–22 46.0%

May 23–29 28.7%

May 30–June 5 6.2%

June 6–12 2.6%

Polymarket

$169,680 交易量

May 15–22

$65,200 交易量

46%

May 23–29

$8,345 交易量

35%

May 30–June 5

$9,137 交易量

6%

June 6–12

$9,059 交易量

3%

June 13–19

$8,855 交易量

2%

June 20–26

$10,436 交易量

1%

June 27–July 3

$5,200 交易量

1%

After July 3

$16,497 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, anchoring the strongest trader consensus around the May 15–22 window. Senate confirmation of successor Kevin Warsh and Powell’s explicit confirmation that he would relinquish the chairmanship while retaining his governor seat through 2028 have clarified the timeline. Recent board actions naming Powell chair pro tempore to bridge the transition period, combined with lingering legal and political pressures on the institution, have reinforced expectations that the formal handover will occur within the next several days. These developments have concentrated probabilities in the immediate weeks ahead while leaving limited room for delays tied to swearing-in logistics or institutional continuity.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$169,680
结束日期
2026-07-03
市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, anchoring the strongest trader consensus around the May 15–22 window. Senate confirmation of successor Kevin Warsh and Powell’s explicit confirmation that he would relinquish the chairmanship while retaining his governor seat through 2028 have clarified the timeline. Recent board actions naming Powell chair pro tempore to bridge the transition period, combined with lingering legal and political pressures on the institution, have reinforced expectations that the formal handover will occur within the next several days. These developments have concentrated probabilities in the immediate weeks ahead while leaving limited room for delays tied to swearing-in logistics or institutional continuity.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$169,680
结束日期
2026-07-03
市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"May 15–22"，概率为 46%，其次是"May 23–29"，概率为 35%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 46¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 46%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?"已产生 $169.7K 的总交易量（自Apr 16, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?"的当前领先者是"May 15–22"，概率为 46%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 46%。紧随其后的结果是"May 23–29"，概率为 35%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。