Skip to main content
icon for Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr?

Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr?

icon for Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr?

Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr?

Gestiegen

53% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Gestiegen

53% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's population decline at the start of 2026, confirmed by Statistics Canada data released March 18 showing a 0.2% drop to 41.47 million as of January 1 amid falling non-permanent residents, anchors trader consensus for a full-year downturn. Federal Immigration Levels Plan announced November 2025 caps new permanent residents at 380,000 and temporary arrivals at 385,000—sharp reductions from prior years to address housing pressures—while Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or zero growth through 2026. Low natural increase from births trailing deaths, combined with non-renewals and outflows, sustains the 61% implied probability on "Down," though upcoming quarterly estimates could shift sentiment if net migration rebounds.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,488
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's population decline at the start of 2026, confirmed by Statistics Canada data released March 18 showing a 0.2% drop to 41.47 million as of January 1 amid falling non-permanent residents, anchors trader consensus for a full-year downturn. Federal Immigration Levels Plan announced November 2025 caps new permanent residents at 380,000 and temporary arrivals at 385,000—sharp reductions from prior years to address housing pressures—while Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or zero growth through 2026. Low natural increase from births trailing deaths, combined with non-renewals and outflows, sustains the 61% implied probability on "Down," though upcoming quarterly estimates could shift sentiment if net migration rebounds.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,488
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr?" ist ein täglich-Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler Anteile darauf kaufen und verkaufen, ob der Preis von Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr? höher („Up") oder niedriger („Down") als sein Eröffnungspreis über das im Titel angegebene täglich-Fenster abschließen wird. Die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit liegt bei 61% für „Gesunken". Ein Preis von 61% bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 61% zuweist. Die Preise werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler auf Live-Preisbewegungen von Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr? reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr?" ist ein aktiver kurzfristiger Markt auf Polymarket. Das Handelsvolumen kann sich schnell aufbauen, während das täglich-Fenster fortschreitet – steigen Sie früh ein, um die Quoten mitzugestalten.

Um auf „Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr?" zu handeln, entscheiden Sie, ob der Preis von Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr? um 12:00 Uhr ET am April 29 höher („Up") oder niedriger („Down") als um 12:00 Uhr ET am January 27 sein wird. Kaufen Sie „Up", wenn Sie glauben, der Preis wird steigen, oder „Down", wenn Sie glauben, er wird fallen. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr Ergebnis bei der Auflösung richtig, zahlt jeder Anteil $1,00 aus. Liegt es falsch, sind die Anteile $0 wert.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr?" liegt bei 61% für „Gesunken", was bedeutet, dass die Polymarket-Community derzeit eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 61% sieht, dass der Preis von Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr? über dieses täglich-Fenster gesunken abschließen wird. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler auf Live-Preisdaten von Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr? reagieren. Über einen ganzen Tag spiegeln die Quoten die sich entwickelnde Stimmung wider, während sich die Preisbewegung des Tages entfaltet. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder handeln Sie jetzt, bevor das Fenster schließt.

Der Markt „Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr?" wird auf Basis eines Vergleichs des Kanadas Bevölkerung steigt oder sinkt in diesem Jahr?-Preises um 12:00 Uhr ET am April 29 gegenüber 12:00 Uhr ET am January 27 aufgelöst, unter Verwendung der Binance CANADAS-POPULATION/USDT 1-Minuten-Kerzenschlusspreise. Ist der Preis am April 29 höher, ist das Ergebnis „Up"; ist er niedriger, „Down"; bei Gleichheit wird 50-50 aufgelöst. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite einsehen.