Renato Casagrande’s commanding position in the Espírito Santo Senate race stems from his record as a three-term governor who stepped down in April 2026 to pursue the seat, combined with a broad coalition that includes the PSB, MDB, and other parties. Recent polling from July 2026 showed him leading with 28-32% support for one of the two available seats, well ahead of rivals such as Paulo Hartung or Sérgio Meneguelli. Traders have priced in this sustained advantage ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Factors that could still alter the outcome include shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, stronger late-campaign momentum by opponents, or unexpected developments in the final weeks that affect name recognition or alliances.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRenato Casagrande 96.3%
Maguinha Malta <1%
Leonardo Monjardim <1%
Callegari <1%
$13,305 Vol.
$13,305 Vol.
30. Juni 2027
Renato Casagrande
96%
Maguinha Malta
1%
Leonardo Monjardim
1%
Callegari
1%
Sergio Meneguelli
<1%
Fabiano Contarato
<1%
Professor Fabian
<1%
Rodney Miranda
<1%
Marcos do Val
<1%
Evair de Melo
<1%
Rose de Freitas
<1%
Renato Casagrande 96.3%
Maguinha Malta <1%
Leonardo Monjardim <1%
Callegari <1%
$13,305 Vol.
$13,305 Vol.
30. Juni 2027
Renato Casagrande
$5,899 Vol.
96%
Maguinha Malta
$1,032 Vol.
1%
Leonardo Monjardim
$884 Vol.
1%
Callegari
$819 Vol.
1%
Sergio Meneguelli
$737 Vol.
<1%
Fabiano Contarato
$744 Vol.
<1%
Professor Fabian
$434 Vol.
<1%
Rodney Miranda
$719 Vol.
<1%
Marcos do Val
$725 Vol.
<1%
Evair de Melo
$716 Vol.
<1%
Rose de Freitas
$596 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande’s commanding position in the Espírito Santo Senate race stems from his record as a three-term governor who stepped down in April 2026 to pursue the seat, combined with a broad coalition that includes the PSB, MDB, and other parties. Recent polling from July 2026 showed him leading with 28-32% support for one of the two available seats, well ahead of rivals such as Paulo Hartung or Sérgio Meneguelli. Traders have priced in this sustained advantage ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Factors that could still alter the outcome include shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, stronger late-campaign momentum by opponents, or unexpected developments in the final weeks that affect name recognition or alliances.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volumen
$13,305Enddatum
1. Juli 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande’s commanding position in the Espírito Santo Senate race stems from his record as a three-term governor who stepped down in April 2026 to pursue the seat, combined with a broad coalition that includes the PSB, MDB, and other parties. Recent polling from July 2026 showed him leading with 28-32% support for one of the two available seats, well ahead of rivals such as Paulo Hartung or Sérgio Meneguelli. Traders have priced in this sustained advantage ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Factors that could still alter the outcome include shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, stronger late-campaign momentum by opponents, or unexpected developments in the final weeks that affect name recognition or alliances.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$13,305Enddatum
1. Juli 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Renato Casagrande’s commanding position in the Espírito Santo Senate race stems from his record as a three-term governor who stepped down in April 2026 to pursue the seat, combined with a broad coalition that includes the PSB, MDB, and other parties. Recent polling from July 2026 showed him leading with 28-32% support for one of the two available seats, well ahead of rivals such as Paulo Hartung or Sérgio Meneguelli. Traders have priced in this sustained advantage ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Factors that could still alter the outcome include shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, stronger late-campaign momentum by opponents, or unexpected developments in the final weeks that affect name recognition or alliances.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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