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icon for Wahlsieger der Nationalen Volksversammlung von Guinea-Bissau

Wahlsieger der Nationalen Volksversammlung von Guinea-Bissau

icon for Wahlsieger der Nationalen Volksversammlung von Guinea-Bissau

Wahlsieger der Nationalen Volksversammlung von Guinea-Bissau

PS 5.6%

MUNDO-GB 4.6%

FLING 4.5%

FREPASNA 3.7%

Polymarket

$156,852 Vol.

PS 5.6%

MUNDO-GB 4.6%

FLING 4.5%

FREPASNA 3.7%

Polymarket

$156,852 Vol.

PS

$24,851 Vol.

6%

MUNDO-GB

$22,820 Vol.

6%

FLING

$12,886 Vol.

4%

FREPASNA

$26,649 Vol.

4%

PT

$21,794 Vol.

2%

Platforma Reupblicana „Nô Kumpu Guiné“

$47,851 Vol.

31%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).**Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader pricing at 30.7% in the December 6, 2026, National People’s Assembly contest, ahead of a fragmented field that includes MUNDO-GB (5.8%), PS (5.6%), FLING (4.5%), FREPASNA (3.7%), and PT (1.6%).** The platform’s edge reflects its prior role as the pro-incumbent coalition aligned with the pre-coup administration and its broader organizational reach across Guinea-Bissau’s 102-seat proportional-representation system. Smaller parties differentiate themselves through narrower ethnic or regional bases, historical ties to independence-era movements, or niche policy appeals, yet lack comparable national infrastructure or coalition depth. A military-led transitional government has set the election date and oversees preparations following the November 2025 coup that annulled earlier voting. Consolidation behind one outcome could occur through last-minute alliances, endorsements by influential military or civil-society figures, or shifts in voter turnout driven by economic conditions and security assurances. The proportional system and multi-party competition make outright majorities unlikely without post-election pacts, keeping implied probabilities sensitive to coalition signals in the final months.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volumen
$156,852
Enddatum
23. Nov. 2025
Markt eröffnet
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).**Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader pricing at 30.7% in the December 6, 2026, National People’s Assembly contest, ahead of a fragmented field that includes MUNDO-GB (5.8%), PS (5.6%), FLING (4.5%), FREPASNA (3.7%), and PT (1.6%).** The platform’s edge reflects its prior role as the pro-incumbent coalition aligned with the pre-coup administration and its broader organizational reach across Guinea-Bissau’s 102-seat proportional-representation system. Smaller parties differentiate themselves through narrower ethnic or regional bases, historical ties to independence-era movements, or niche policy appeals, yet lack comparable national infrastructure or coalition depth. A military-led transitional government has set the election date and oversees preparations following the November 2025 coup that annulled earlier voting. Consolidation behind one outcome could occur through last-minute alliances, endorsements by influential military or civil-society figures, or shifts in voter turnout driven by economic conditions and security assurances. The proportional system and multi-party competition make outright majorities unlikely without post-election pacts, keeping implied probabilities sensitive to coalition signals in the final months.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volumen
$156,852
Enddatum
23. Nov. 2025
Markt eröffnet
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Fernando Dias da Costa die Präsidentschaftswahl 2025 in Guinea-Bissau gewinnen?

Wird Fernando Dias da Costa die Präsidentschaftswahl 2025 in Guinea-Bissau gewinnen?

15%
Ja
icon for Wird die Bewegung der Vereinigten Herzen (MCU) die meisten Sitze bei der Nationalversammlungswahl 2025 in der Zentralafrikanischen Republik gewinnen?

Wird die Bewegung der Vereinigten Herzen (MCU) die meisten Sitze bei der Nationalversammlungswahl 2025 in der Zentralafrikanischen Republik gewinnen?

98%
Ja
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95%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger der Nationalen Volksversammlung von Guinea-Bissau" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Platforma Reupblicana „Nô Kumpu Guiné“" mit 31%, gefolgt von „PS" mit 6%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 31¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 31% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wahlsieger der Nationalen Volksversammlung von Guinea-Bissau" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $156.9K generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 7, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wahlsieger der Nationalen Volksversammlung von Guinea-Bissau" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 6 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger der Nationalen Volksversammlung von Guinea-Bissau" ist „Platforma Reupblicana „Nô Kumpu Guiné“" mit 31%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 31% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „PS" mit 6%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger der Nationalen Volksversammlung von Guinea-Bissau" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.