Recent polling in Ceará shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats up on October 4, with Luizianne Lins, incumbent Cid Gomes, Capitão Wagner, and Alcides Fernandes clustered within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid 20s or below. This tight distribution among leading contenders, plus several lower-polling names, keeps first-place probabilities closely matched in trader pricing. Alignment with state gubernatorial tickets and opposition dynamics add further uncertainty, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner or major late-breaking events such as candidate withdrawals sustains the even market consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCapitão Wagner 44%
Catarina Matos 44%
Cid Gomes 44%
Lino Alves 44%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Capitão Wagner
44%
Catarina Matos
44%
Cid Gomes
44%
Lino Alves
44%
Luizianne
44%
Reginaldo
44%
Alcides Fernandes
44%
Guilherme Theophilo
44%
Capitão Wagner 44%
Catarina Matos 44%
Cid Gomes 44%
Lino Alves 44%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Capitão Wagner
$0 Vol.
44%
Catarina Matos
$0 Vol.
44%
Cid Gomes
$0 Vol.
44%
Lino Alves
$0 Vol.
44%
Luizianne
$0 Vol.
44%
Reginaldo
$0 Vol.
44%
Alcides Fernandes
$0 Vol.
44%
Guilherme Theophilo
$0 Vol.
44%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Ceará shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats up on October 4, with Luizianne Lins, incumbent Cid Gomes, Capitão Wagner, and Alcides Fernandes clustered within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid 20s or below. This tight distribution among leading contenders, plus several lower-polling names, keeps first-place probabilities closely matched in trader pricing. Alignment with state gubernatorial tickets and opposition dynamics add further uncertainty, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner or major late-breaking events such as candidate withdrawals sustains the even market consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Ceará shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats up on October 4, with Luizianne Lins, incumbent Cid Gomes, Capitão Wagner, and Alcides Fernandes clustered within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid 20s or below. This tight distribution among leading contenders, plus several lower-polling names, keeps first-place probabilities closely matched in trader pricing. Alignment with state gubernatorial tickets and opposition dynamics add further uncertainty, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner or major late-breaking events such as candidate withdrawals sustains the even market consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Ceará shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats up on October 4, with Luizianne Lins, incumbent Cid Gomes, Capitão Wagner, and Alcides Fernandes clustered within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid 20s or below. This tight distribution among leading contenders, plus several lower-polling names, keeps first-place probabilities closely matched in trader pricing. Alignment with state gubernatorial tickets and opposition dynamics add further uncertainty, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner or major late-breaking events such as candidate withdrawals sustains the even market consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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