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icon for Elección al Senado de Minas Gerais: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Minas Gerais: 2do Lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Minas Gerais: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Minas Gerais: 2do Lugar

Marcelo Aro 44%

Arcanjo Pimenta 44%

Domingos Sávio 44%

Jordano Metalúrgico 44%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Marcelo Aro 44%

Arcanjo Pimenta 44%

Domingos Sávio 44%

Jordano Metalúrgico 44%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$20 Vol.

9%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$20 Vol.

8%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of 17 registered candidates for Minas Gerais’s two Senate seats, with campaigning underway since mid-August 2026, keeps second-place positioning highly uncertain among traders. Recent polls show Marília Campos (PT) ahead, trailed closely by Domingos Sávio (PL) and incumbent Carlos Viana (PSD), while Áurea Carolina (PSOL) and several others register single-digit support, producing a competitive spread without decisive separation. Official TSE registrations, party ticket finalizations, and the absence of major scandals or endorsements in the past month have sustained this balance, as no single contender has consolidated the center-right or progressive vote blocs enough to pull clear of the pack. Trader pricing at or near 50% for numerous names reflects this ongoing volatility, with late polling shifts, debate performances, or coalition adjustments in the remaining weeks before October 4 potentially clarifying the order.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$40
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of 17 registered candidates for Minas Gerais’s two Senate seats, with campaigning underway since mid-August 2026, keeps second-place positioning highly uncertain among traders. Recent polls show Marília Campos (PT) ahead, trailed closely by Domingos Sávio (PL) and incumbent Carlos Viana (PSD), while Áurea Carolina (PSOL) and several others register single-digit support, producing a competitive spread without decisive separation. Official TSE registrations, party ticket finalizations, and the absence of major scandals or endorsements in the past month have sustained this balance, as no single contender has consolidated the center-right or progressive vote blocs enough to pull clear of the pack. Trader pricing at or near 50% for numerous names reflects this ongoing volatility, with late polling shifts, debate performances, or coalition adjustments in the remaining weeks before October 4 potentially clarifying the order.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$40
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Minas Gerais: 2do Lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Marcelo Aro" con 44%, seguido de "Arcanjo Pimenta" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 44¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Minas Gerais: 2do Lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Minas Gerais: 2do Lugar", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Minas Gerais: 2do Lugar" es "Marcelo Aro" con 44%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Arcanjo Pimenta" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Minas Gerais: 2do Lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.