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Política·Primarias

FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Política·Primarias

FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Thomas Chalifoux 48%

Jorge Malavet 8%

Howard Steven Rance 5.5%

Justin Story 4.5%

Polymarket

$20,043 Vol.

Thomas Chalifoux 48%

Jorge Malavet 8%

Howard Steven Rance 5.5%

Justin Story 4.5%

Polymarket

$20,043 Vol.

Thomas Chalifoux

$1,321 Vol.

48%

Jorge Malavet

$2,359 Vol.

8%

Howard Steven Rance

$7,808 Vol.

6%

Justin Story

$7,955 Vol.

5%

Marcus Carter

$600 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux holds the lead in the FL-09 Republican primary market with under two months until the August 18, 2026, contest, reflecting traders' assessment of his prior local officeholding, state party role, and demonstrated fundraising capacity from earlier cycles. Marcus Carter, an Army veteran, follows as the next most competitive option amid a field that also includes Jorge Malavet, Howard Steven Rance, and Justin Story. The June qualifying deadline and limited name recognition among challengers have shaped positioning, with the primary winner advancing to face incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Recent candidate filings and historical candidate resource data continue to inform crowd-sourced probabilities ahead of any late campaign developments.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$20,043
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux holds the lead in the FL-09 Republican primary market with under two months until the August 18, 2026, contest, reflecting traders' assessment of his prior local officeholding, state party role, and demonstrated fundraising capacity from earlier cycles. Marcus Carter, an Army veteran, follows as the next most competitive option amid a field that also includes Jorge Malavet, Howard Steven Rance, and Justin Story. The June qualifying deadline and limited name recognition among challengers have shaped positioning, with the primary winner advancing to face incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Recent candidate filings and historical candidate resource data continue to inform crowd-sourced probabilities ahead of any late campaign developments.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$20,043
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Thomas Chalifoux" con 48%, seguido de "Marcus Carter" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" ha generado $20K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 23, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Thomas Chalifoux" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marcus Carter" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.