Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 35°C high temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14, driven by real-time observations from stations like Subang Airport confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 35°C (95°F) under clear skies and passing clouds, aligning with MetMalaysia's forecast of no rain and a 34–35°C maximum range for the district. This reflects the equatorial city's tropical climate dynamics, where May's dry season—characterized by high solar insolation, low humidity around 50–60%, and weak winds—routinely pushes highs to 32–35°C, with historical May averages near 33°C occasionally exceeded on rain-free days. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon convective burst delaying thunderstorms and enabling a 36°C spike before sunset, or post hoc data revisions from official monitors, though model ensembles and diurnal cooling trends make these low-likelihood events. Resolution hinges on final daily maximum from Malaysian Meteorological Department records.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14?
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$35,512 Vol.
$35,512 Vol.
14 may 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$35,512 Vol.
$35,512 Vol.
14 may 2026
26°C or below
$831 Vol.
No
27°C
$901 Vol.
No
28°C
$786 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,923 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,285 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,768 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,540 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,108 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,259 Vol.
No
35°C
$7,170 Vol.
Yes
36°C or higher
$4,941 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 35°C high temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14, driven by real-time observations from stations like Subang Airport confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 35°C (95°F) under clear skies and passing clouds, aligning with MetMalaysia's forecast of no rain and a 34–35°C maximum range for the district. This reflects the equatorial city's tropical climate dynamics, where May's dry season—characterized by high solar insolation, low humidity around 50–60%, and weak winds—routinely pushes highs to 32–35°C, with historical May averages near 33°C occasionally exceeded on rain-free days. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon convective burst delaying thunderstorms and enabling a 36°C spike before sunset, or post hoc data revisions from official monitors, though model ensembles and diurnal cooling trends make these low-likelihood events. Resolution hinges on final daily maximum from Malaysian Meteorological Department records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$35,512Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 35°C high temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14, driven by real-time observations from stations like Subang Airport confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 35°C (95°F) under clear skies and passing clouds, aligning with MetMalaysia's forecast of no rain and a 34–35°C maximum range for the district. This reflects the equatorial city's tropical climate dynamics, where May's dry season—characterized by high solar insolation, low humidity around 50–60%, and weak winds—routinely pushes highs to 32–35°C, with historical May averages near 33°C occasionally exceeded on rain-free days. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon convective burst delaying thunderstorms and enabling a 36°C spike before sunset, or post hoc data revisions from official monitors, though model ensembles and diurnal cooling trends make these low-likelihood events. Resolution hinges on final daily maximum from Malaysian Meteorological Department records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$35,512Fecha de finalización
14 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 35°C high temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14, driven by real-time observations from stations like Subang Airport confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 35°C (95°F) under clear skies and passing clouds, aligning with MetMalaysia's forecast of no rain and a 34–35°C maximum range for the district. This reflects the equatorial city's tropical climate dynamics, where May's dry season—characterized by high solar insolation, low humidity around 50–60%, and weak winds—routinely pushes highs to 32–35°C, with historical May averages near 33°C occasionally exceeded on rain-free days. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon convective burst delaying thunderstorms and enabling a 36°C spike before sunset, or post hoc data revisions from official monitors, though model ensembles and diurnal cooling trends make these low-likelihood events. Resolution hinges on final daily maximum from Malaysian Meteorological Department records.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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