India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 40°C for Lucknow on May 15 under mainly clear skies, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for 41°C or below at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, the resolution site. Current airport observations reached 37°C by 14:30 IST amid low humidity (39%) and light winds, consistent with recent highs of 38.1°C on May 13 and stable pre-monsoon patterns cooler than the typical May average of 39–42°C. Trader consensus reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment, with minimal risk of escalation. A late-afternoon solar heating surge or localized urban effects could theoretically push toward 42°C, though model consensus and diurnal trends make this unlikely; final IMD observations will confirm by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
41°C or below 99.9%
43°C <1%
42°C <1%
44°C <1%
$37,920 Vol.
$37,920 Vol.
15 may 2026
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.9%
43°C <1%
42°C <1%
44°C <1%
$37,920 Vol.
$37,920 Vol.
15 may 2026
41°C or below
$5,997 Vol.
100%
42°C
$8,338 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$6,236 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$3,611 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$3,386 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$3,172 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$2,641 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$2,228 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$654 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$779 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$882 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 40°C for Lucknow on May 15 under mainly clear skies, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for 41°C or below at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, the resolution site. Current airport observations reached 37°C by 14:30 IST amid low humidity (39%) and light winds, consistent with recent highs of 38.1°C on May 13 and stable pre-monsoon patterns cooler than the typical May average of 39–42°C. Trader consensus reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment, with minimal risk of escalation. A late-afternoon solar heating surge or localized urban effects could theoretically push toward 42°C, though model consensus and diurnal trends make this unlikely; final IMD observations will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$37,920Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 40°C for Lucknow on May 15 under mainly clear skies, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for 41°C or below at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, the resolution site. Current airport observations reached 37°C by 14:30 IST amid low humidity (39%) and light winds, consistent with recent highs of 38.1°C on May 13 and stable pre-monsoon patterns cooler than the typical May average of 39–42°C. Trader consensus reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment, with minimal risk of escalation. A late-afternoon solar heating surge or localized urban effects could theoretically push toward 42°C, though model consensus and diurnal trends make this unlikely; final IMD observations will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$37,920Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 40°C for Lucknow on May 15 under mainly clear skies, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for 41°C or below at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, the resolution site. Current airport observations reached 37°C by 14:30 IST amid low humidity (39%) and light winds, consistent with recent highs of 38.1°C on May 13 and stable pre-monsoon patterns cooler than the typical May average of 39–42°C. Trader consensus reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment, with minimal risk of escalation. A late-afternoon solar heating surge or localized urban effects could theoretically push toward 42°C, though model consensus and diurnal trends make this unlikely; final IMD observations will confirm by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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