Recent polling aggregates show National and Labour locked in a tight race near 30% each ahead of the November 2026 election under MMP rules, positioning the Green Party and New Zealand First as the main contenders for third place. Greens have held steady in the 10–13% range across multiple surveys, while New Zealand First has slipped to around 8–10% in the latest releases amid coalition tensions and a surge for the Opportunity Party. ACT remains competitive near 8% but trails the leaders, and smaller parties such as Te Pāti Māori show limited upward momentum. Traders appear to weigh the Greens’ consistent mid-teens support and historical third-place finishes against New Zealand First’s recent volatility when pricing the implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
Green Party 57%
New Zealand First Party 32%
ACT New Zealand 2.1%
National Party 1.3%
$10,874 Vol.
$10,874 Vol.
7 nov 2026
Green Party
57%
New Zealand First Party
32%
ACT New Zealand
2%
National Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
Green Party 57%
New Zealand First Party 32%
ACT New Zealand 2.1%
National Party 1.3%
$10,874 Vol.
$10,874 Vol.
7 nov 2026
Green Party
$4,453 Vol.
57%
New Zealand First Party
$3,509 Vol.
32%
ACT New Zealand
$691 Vol.
2%
National Party
$404 Vol.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$763 Vol.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,054 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates show National and Labour locked in a tight race near 30% each ahead of the November 2026 election under MMP rules, positioning the Green Party and New Zealand First as the main contenders for third place. Greens have held steady in the 10–13% range across multiple surveys, while New Zealand First has slipped to around 8–10% in the latest releases amid coalition tensions and a surge for the Opportunity Party. ACT remains competitive near 8% but trails the leaders, and smaller parties such as Te Pāti Māori show limited upward momentum. Traders appear to weigh the Greens’ consistent mid-teens support and historical third-place finishes against New Zealand First’s recent volatility when pricing the implied probabilities.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volumen
$10,874Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates show National and Labour locked in a tight race near 30% each ahead of the November 2026 election under MMP rules, positioning the Green Party and New Zealand First as the main contenders for third place. Greens have held steady in the 10–13% range across multiple surveys, while New Zealand First has slipped to around 8–10% in the latest releases amid coalition tensions and a surge for the Opportunity Party. ACT remains competitive near 8% but trails the leaders, and smaller parties such as Te Pāti Māori show limited upward momentum. Traders appear to weigh the Greens’ consistent mid-teens support and historical third-place finishes against New Zealand First’s recent volatility when pricing the implied probabilities.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volumen
$10,874Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates show National and Labour locked in a tight race near 30% each ahead of the November 2026 election under MMP rules, positioning the Green Party and New Zealand First as the main contenders for third place. Greens have held steady in the 10–13% range across multiple surveys, while New Zealand First has slipped to around 8–10% in the latest releases amid coalition tensions and a surge for the Opportunity Party. ACT remains competitive near 8% but trails the leaders, and smaller parties such as Te Pāti Māori show limited upward momentum. Traders appear to weigh the Greens’ consistent mid-teens support and historical third-place finishes against New Zealand First’s recent volatility when pricing the implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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