Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds the leading position in trader consensus due to consistent leads in recent polling. Multiple September 2026 surveys, including AtlasIntel, show him at 41-47% in first-round scenarios against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) in the low-to-mid 30s and Ricardo Marques (PL) in the low-to-mid teens. Mitidieri benefits from an established broad coalition and name recognition as the sitting executive, while his main challengers trail significantly. The first round is scheduled for October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25. Other registered candidates, such as Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, register negligible support and face structural barriers to advancing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFábio 77%
Valmir de Francisquinho 20%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
$28,295 Vol.
$28,295 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Fábio
77%
Valmir de Francisquinho
20%
Emanuel Cacho
<1%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
<1%
Dr. Helton
<1%
Ricardo Marques
<1%
Fábio 77%
Valmir de Francisquinho 20%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
$28,295 Vol.
$28,295 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Fábio
$18,840 Vol.
77%
Valmir de Francisquinho
$6,448 Vol.
20%
Emanuel Cacho
$634 Vol.
<1%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
$1,029 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Helton
$900 Vol.
<1%
Ricardo Marques
$443 Vol.
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds the leading position in trader consensus due to consistent leads in recent polling. Multiple September 2026 surveys, including AtlasIntel, show him at 41-47% in first-round scenarios against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) in the low-to-mid 30s and Ricardo Marques (PL) in the low-to-mid teens. Mitidieri benefits from an established broad coalition and name recognition as the sitting executive, while his main challengers trail significantly. The first round is scheduled for October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25. Other registered candidates, such as Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, register negligible support and face structural barriers to advancing.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volumen
$28,295Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds the leading position in trader consensus due to consistent leads in recent polling. Multiple September 2026 surveys, including AtlasIntel, show him at 41-47% in first-round scenarios against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) in the low-to-mid 30s and Ricardo Marques (PL) in the low-to-mid teens. Mitidieri benefits from an established broad coalition and name recognition as the sitting executive, while his main challengers trail significantly. The first round is scheduled for October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25. Other registered candidates, such as Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, register negligible support and face structural barriers to advancing.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$28,295Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds the leading position in trader consensus due to consistent leads in recent polling. Multiple September 2026 surveys, including AtlasIntel, show him at 41-47% in first-round scenarios against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) in the low-to-mid 30s and Ricardo Marques (PL) in the low-to-mid teens. Mitidieri benefits from an established broad coalition and name recognition as the sitting executive, while his main challengers trail significantly. The first round is scheduled for October 4, with a potential runoff on October 25. Other registered candidates, such as Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, register negligible support and face structural barriers to advancing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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