Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 94.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap exceeding $50 billion, driven by the AI chipmaker's recent S-1 amendment upsizing its offering to 30 million shares at $150–$160 each—implying up to a $48.8 billion valuation amid 20x oversubscription from surging demand. Strong 2025 financials, with revenue surging 76% to $509 million and first GAAP profitability at $88 million net income, bolster sentiment, alongside marquee deals like a $20 billion OpenAI compute contract and AWS as its inaugural hyperscaler customer. With Nasdaq debut under $CBRS set for May 14, a first-day trading pop could easily surpass $50 billion; downside risks include pricing at the low end, broader AI sector rotation, or macroeconomic volatility curbing risk appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$50B+ 94%
$40B–$50B 4.3%
$30B–$40B 1.1%
<$20B <1%
$130,019 Vol.
$130,019 Vol.
May 14, 2026
<$20B
<1%
$20B–$30B
<1%
$30B–$40B
1%
$40B–$50B
4%
$50B+
94%
No IPO before July 2026
<1%
$50B+ 94%
$40B–$50B 4.3%
$30B–$40B 1.1%
<$20B <1%
$130,019 Vol.
$130,019 Vol.
May 14, 2026
<$20B
$15,753 Vol.
<1%
$20B–$30B
$27,543 Vol.
<1%
$30B–$40B
$14,830 Vol.
1%
$40B–$50B
$20,693 Vol.
4%
$50B+
$35,649 Vol.
94%
No IPO before July 2026
$15,551 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 94.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap exceeding $50 billion, driven by the AI chipmaker's recent S-1 amendment upsizing its offering to 30 million shares at $150–$160 each—implying up to a $48.8 billion valuation amid 20x oversubscription from surging demand. Strong 2025 financials, with revenue surging 76% to $509 million and first GAAP profitability at $88 million net income, bolster sentiment, alongside marquee deals like a $20 billion OpenAI compute contract and AWS as its inaugural hyperscaler customer. With Nasdaq debut under $CBRS set for May 14, a first-day trading pop could easily surpass $50 billion; downside risks include pricing at the low end, broader AI sector rotation, or macroeconomic volatility curbing risk appetite.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volume
$130,019End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 94.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap exceeding $50 billion, driven by the AI chipmaker's recent S-1 amendment upsizing its offering to 30 million shares at $150–$160 each—implying up to a $48.8 billion valuation amid 20x oversubscription from surging demand. Strong 2025 financials, with revenue surging 76% to $509 million and first GAAP profitability at $88 million net income, bolster sentiment, alongside marquee deals like a $20 billion OpenAI compute contract and AWS as its inaugural hyperscaler customer. With Nasdaq debut under $CBRS set for May 14, a first-day trading pop could easily surpass $50 billion; downside risks include pricing at the low end, broader AI sector rotation, or macroeconomic volatility curbing risk appetite.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$130,019End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 94.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap exceeding $50 billion, driven by the AI chipmaker's recent S-1 amendment upsizing its offering to 30 million shares at $150–$160 each—implying up to a $48.8 billion valuation amid 20x oversubscription from surging demand. Strong 2025 financials, with revenue surging 76% to $509 million and first GAAP profitability at $88 million net income, bolster sentiment, alongside marquee deals like a $20 billion OpenAI compute contract and AWS as its inaugural hyperscaler customer. With Nasdaq debut under $CBRS set for May 14, a first-day trading pop could easily surpass $50 billion; downside risks include pricing at the low end, broader AI sector rotation, or macroeconomic volatility curbing risk appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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