The dominant trader consensus on no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and the company’s recent capital raises that reduce near-term pressure to list. In February 2026 Databricks closed a $5 billion equity round plus additional debt at a $134 billion valuation while reporting a $5.4 billion revenue run-rate growing more than 65 percent year-over-year, driven by its Lakehouse platform and expanding AI workloads. CEO Ali Ghodsi has described the firm as IPO-ready yet offered no firm timeline beyond noting a 2026 window remains possible. With confidential filings typically preceding a listing by six to twelve months, a June cutoff now appears improbable unless market conditions or strategic developments prompt an accelerated public debut.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo IPO by June 30, 2026 91.1%
200–250B 2.1%
125–150B 1.2%
250B+ <1%
$404,098 Vol.
$404,098 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100B
<1%
100–125B
<1%
125–150B
1%
150–175B
<1%
175–200B
<1%
200–250B
2%
250B+
1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
91%
No IPO by June 30, 2026 91.1%
200–250B 2.1%
125–150B 1.2%
250B+ <1%
$404,098 Vol.
$404,098 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100B
$33,256 Vol.
<1%
100–125B
$62,208 Vol.
<1%
125–150B
$26,697 Vol.
1%
150–175B
$59,916 Vol.
<1%
175–200B
$58,169 Vol.
<1%
200–250B
$21,131 Vol.
2%
250B+
$126,233 Vol.
1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
$16,488 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The dominant trader consensus on no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and the company’s recent capital raises that reduce near-term pressure to list. In February 2026 Databricks closed a $5 billion equity round plus additional debt at a $134 billion valuation while reporting a $5.4 billion revenue run-rate growing more than 65 percent year-over-year, driven by its Lakehouse platform and expanding AI workloads. CEO Ali Ghodsi has described the firm as IPO-ready yet offered no firm timeline beyond noting a 2026 window remains possible. With confidential filings typically preceding a listing by six to twelve months, a June cutoff now appears improbable unless market conditions or strategic developments prompt an accelerated public debut.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$404,098End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The dominant trader consensus on no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and the company’s recent capital raises that reduce near-term pressure to list. In February 2026 Databricks closed a $5 billion equity round plus additional debt at a $134 billion valuation while reporting a $5.4 billion revenue run-rate growing more than 65 percent year-over-year, driven by its Lakehouse platform and expanding AI workloads. CEO Ali Ghodsi has described the firm as IPO-ready yet offered no firm timeline beyond noting a 2026 window remains possible. With confidential filings typically preceding a listing by six to twelve months, a June cutoff now appears improbable unless market conditions or strategic developments prompt an accelerated public debut.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$404,098End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The dominant trader consensus on no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the absence of an S-1 filing and the company’s recent capital raises that reduce near-term pressure to list. In February 2026 Databricks closed a $5 billion equity round plus additional debt at a $134 billion valuation while reporting a $5.4 billion revenue run-rate growing more than 65 percent year-over-year, driven by its Lakehouse platform and expanding AI workloads. CEO Ali Ghodsi has described the firm as IPO-ready yet offered no firm timeline beyond noting a 2026 window remains possible. With confidential filings typically preceding a listing by six to twelve months, a June cutoff now appears improbable unless market conditions or strategic developments prompt an accelerated public debut.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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