Bipartisan congressional support for preserving Section 702 as a core foreign intelligence collection authority, combined with ongoing national security threats from state actors and terrorist groups, has produced near-certain trader consensus on reauthorization before any lapse. Lawmakers extended the program via short-term measures in April 2026 after House and Senate negotiations over reform proposals, including potential warrant requirements for U.S. person queries, failed to yield a longer-term agreement. The 2024 Reforming Intelligence and Securing America Act’s compliance mandates and executive branch emphasis on uninterrupted access further reinforce expectations of eventual passage. Only an unforeseen major compliance scandal or procedural breakdown in the current session could still disrupt this outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$40,922 Vol.
$40,922 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$40,922 Vol.
$40,922 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bipartisan congressional support for preserving Section 702 as a core foreign intelligence collection authority, combined with ongoing national security threats from state actors and terrorist groups, has produced near-certain trader consensus on reauthorization before any lapse. Lawmakers extended the program via short-term measures in April 2026 after House and Senate negotiations over reform proposals, including potential warrant requirements for U.S. person queries, failed to yield a longer-term agreement. The 2024 Reforming Intelligence and Securing America Act’s compliance mandates and executive branch emphasis on uninterrupted access further reinforce expectations of eventual passage. Only an unforeseen major compliance scandal or procedural breakdown in the current session could still disrupt this outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Volume
$40,922End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bipartisan congressional support for preserving Section 702 as a core foreign intelligence collection authority, combined with ongoing national security threats from state actors and terrorist groups, has produced near-certain trader consensus on reauthorization before any lapse. Lawmakers extended the program via short-term measures in April 2026 after House and Senate negotiations over reform proposals, including potential warrant requirements for U.S. person queries, failed to yield a longer-term agreement. The 2024 Reforming Intelligence and Securing America Act’s compliance mandates and executive branch emphasis on uninterrupted access further reinforce expectations of eventual passage. Only an unforeseen major compliance scandal or procedural breakdown in the current session could still disrupt this outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,922End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan congressional support for preserving Section 702 as a core foreign intelligence collection authority, combined with ongoing national security threats from state actors and terrorist groups, has produced near-certain trader consensus on reauthorization before any lapse. Lawmakers extended the program via short-term measures in April 2026 after House and Senate negotiations over reform proposals, including potential warrant requirements for U.S. person queries, failed to yield a longer-term agreement. The 2024 Reforming Intelligence and Securing America Act’s compliance mandates and executive branch emphasis on uninterrupted access further reinforce expectations of eventual passage. Only an unforeseen major compliance scandal or procedural breakdown in the current session could still disrupt this outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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