Trader consensus on FISA Section 702 reauthorization before expiration reflects strong bipartisan momentum following the House's April 29 passage of a three-year extension bill (235-191) and subsequent 45-day stopgap approved by both chambers on April 30, pushing the deadline to mid-June. Intelligence leaders, including House Intelligence Committee Chairman Rick Crawford, emphasize the program's critical role in counterterrorism amid ongoing threats, echoing historical patterns where Congress has repeatedly renewed the warrantless surveillance authority despite reform debates over incidental collection of Americans' communications. With the Senate next, high confidence stems from national security imperatives and reluctance to risk lapse, though warrant requirements, procedural holds, or Freedom Caucus amendments could still delay final passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$40,901 Vol.
$40,901 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$40,901 Vol.
$40,901 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on FISA Section 702 reauthorization before expiration reflects strong bipartisan momentum following the House's April 29 passage of a three-year extension bill (235-191) and subsequent 45-day stopgap approved by both chambers on April 30, pushing the deadline to mid-June. Intelligence leaders, including House Intelligence Committee Chairman Rick Crawford, emphasize the program's critical role in counterterrorism amid ongoing threats, echoing historical patterns where Congress has repeatedly renewed the warrantless surveillance authority despite reform debates over incidental collection of Americans' communications. With the Senate next, high confidence stems from national security imperatives and reluctance to risk lapse, though warrant requirements, procedural holds, or Freedom Caucus amendments could still delay final passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Volume
$40,901End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on FISA Section 702 reauthorization before expiration reflects strong bipartisan momentum following the House's April 29 passage of a three-year extension bill (235-191) and subsequent 45-day stopgap approved by both chambers on April 30, pushing the deadline to mid-June. Intelligence leaders, including House Intelligence Committee Chairman Rick Crawford, emphasize the program's critical role in counterterrorism amid ongoing threats, echoing historical patterns where Congress has repeatedly renewed the warrantless surveillance authority despite reform debates over incidental collection of Americans' communications. With the Senate next, high confidence stems from national security imperatives and reluctance to risk lapse, though warrant requirements, procedural holds, or Freedom Caucus amendments could still delay final passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,901End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on FISA Section 702 reauthorization before expiration reflects strong bipartisan momentum following the House's April 29 passage of a three-year extension bill (235-191) and subsequent 45-day stopgap approved by both chambers on April 30, pushing the deadline to mid-June. Intelligence leaders, including House Intelligence Committee Chairman Rick Crawford, emphasize the program's critical role in counterterrorism amid ongoing threats, echoing historical patterns where Congress has repeatedly renewed the warrantless surveillance authority despite reform debates over incidental collection of Americans' communications. With the Senate next, high confidence stems from national security imperatives and reluctance to risk lapse, though warrant requirements, procedural holds, or Freedom Caucus amendments could still delay final passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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