Trader consensus on the Dallas daily high temperature market for August 4, 2026, centers on 100–101°F because official observations at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) recorded a maximum in that narrow band, consistent with National Weather Service data and seasonal climatology for early August. Summer patterns of high pressure, abundant sunshine, and southerly flow typically drive afternoon peaks near 96–102°F in the region, with 100°F+ readings occurring multiple times per season on average. Forecasters anticipated conditions supporting this range given model consensus and lack of significant cloud cover or frontal passages. Only a major revision in station data or an unrecognized sensor anomaly would alter the outcome, though such events remain rare for established reporting sites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 4?
100-101°F 100.0%
97°F or below <1%
98-99°F <1%
102-103°F <1%
$37,340 Vol.
$37,340 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
97°F or below
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112-113°F
No
114-115°F
No
116°F or higher
No
100-101°F 100.0%
97°F or below <1%
98-99°F <1%
102-103°F <1%
$37,340 Vol.
$37,340 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
97°F or below
$4,316 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$6,471 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$10,834 Vol.
Yes
102-103°F
$6,389 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$5,672 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$1,547 Vol.
No
108-109°F
$449 Vol.
No
110-111°F
$389 Vol.
No
112-113°F
$519 Vol.
No
114-115°F
$367 Vol.
No
116°F or higher
$389 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Dallas daily high temperature market for August 4, 2026, centers on 100–101°F because official observations at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) recorded a maximum in that narrow band, consistent with National Weather Service data and seasonal climatology for early August. Summer patterns of high pressure, abundant sunshine, and southerly flow typically drive afternoon peaks near 96–102°F in the region, with 100°F+ readings occurring multiple times per season on average. Forecasters anticipated conditions supporting this range given model consensus and lack of significant cloud cover or frontal passages. Only a major revision in station data or an unrecognized sensor anomaly would alter the outcome, though such events remain rare for established reporting sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$37,340End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Dallas daily high temperature market for August 4, 2026, centers on 100–101°F because official observations at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) recorded a maximum in that narrow band, consistent with National Weather Service data and seasonal climatology for early August. Summer patterns of high pressure, abundant sunshine, and southerly flow typically drive afternoon peaks near 96–102°F in the region, with 100°F+ readings occurring multiple times per season on average. Forecasters anticipated conditions supporting this range given model consensus and lack of significant cloud cover or frontal passages. Only a major revision in station data or an unrecognized sensor anomaly would alter the outcome, though such events remain rare for established reporting sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,340End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on the Dallas daily high temperature market for August 4, 2026, centers on 100–101°F because official observations at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) recorded a maximum in that narrow band, consistent with National Weather Service data and seasonal climatology for early August. Summer patterns of high pressure, abundant sunshine, and southerly flow typically drive afternoon peaks near 96–102°F in the region, with 100°F+ readings occurring multiple times per season on average. Forecasters anticipated conditions supporting this range given model consensus and lack of significant cloud cover or frontal passages. Only a major revision in station data or an unrecognized sensor anomaly would alter the outcome, though such events remain rare for established reporting sites.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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