Official National Weather Service observations confirm Denver reached a daily maximum of 93°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on the 92–93°F outcome. This followed early-month extremes above 100°F and reflected a moderation toward climatological norms of 88°F under partly cloudy skies with limited convective cooling from isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Ensemble model guidance and NWS point forecasts had consistently targeted the low-to-mid 90s, supporting the strong trader alignment around observed conditions at primary reporting stations like Denver International Airport. The only realistic challenges would involve rare station discrepancies or unreported measurement revisions, though official summaries leave little room for such shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 12?
92-93°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$43,115 Vol.
$43,115 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$43,115 Vol.
$43,115 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
87°F or below
$6,506 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$6,866 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$7,677 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$8,197 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$6,709 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$2,795 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$1,603 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$841 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$1,057 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$478 Vol.
No
106°F or higher
$386 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations confirm Denver reached a daily maximum of 93°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on the 92–93°F outcome. This followed early-month extremes above 100°F and reflected a moderation toward climatological norms of 88°F under partly cloudy skies with limited convective cooling from isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Ensemble model guidance and NWS point forecasts had consistently targeted the low-to-mid 90s, supporting the strong trader alignment around observed conditions at primary reporting stations like Denver International Airport. The only realistic challenges would involve rare station discrepancies or unreported measurement revisions, though official summaries leave little room for such shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$43,115End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations confirm Denver reached a daily maximum of 93°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on the 92–93°F outcome. This followed early-month extremes above 100°F and reflected a moderation toward climatological norms of 88°F under partly cloudy skies with limited convective cooling from isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Ensemble model guidance and NWS point forecasts had consistently targeted the low-to-mid 90s, supporting the strong trader alignment around observed conditions at primary reporting stations like Denver International Airport. The only realistic challenges would involve rare station discrepancies or unreported measurement revisions, though official summaries leave little room for such shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,115End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations confirm Denver reached a daily maximum of 93°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on the 92–93°F outcome. This followed early-month extremes above 100°F and reflected a moderation toward climatological norms of 88°F under partly cloudy skies with limited convective cooling from isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Ensemble model guidance and NWS point forecasts had consistently targeted the low-to-mid 90s, supporting the strong trader alignment around observed conditions at primary reporting stations like Denver International Airport. The only realistic challenges would involve rare station discrepancies or unreported measurement revisions, though official summaries leave little room for such shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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