Current forecasts from meteorological models position 34–35°C as the most likely daily maximum in Guangzhou on August 17, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and urban heat retention. Recent data show light to moderate rain expected, which could moderate afternoon peaks toward 34°C or slightly below while limiting extreme heating, yet variable cloud cover and steering patterns allow room for brief clearing that supports a 35–36°C outcome. Historical August averages hover near 33°C, with occasional spikes higher during drier spells; trader consensus around these thresholds aligns with official guidance emphasizing forecast uncertainty in timing and intensity of precipitation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 17?
35°C 47%
34°C 26%
36°C 19%
33°C 13%
NEW
$30,427 Vol.
NEW
$30,427 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
13%
34°C
26%
35°C
47%
36°C
19%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 47%
34°C 26%
36°C 19%
33°C 13%
NEW
$30,427 Vol.
NEW
$30,427 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
29°C or below
$252 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$388 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$6,424 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,112 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,768 Vol.
13%
34°C
$2,230 Vol.
26%
35°C
$1,707 Vol.
47%
36°C
$2,122 Vol.
19%
37°C
$3,803 Vol.
4%
38°C
$4,505 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$2,116 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models position 34–35°C as the most likely daily maximum in Guangzhou on August 17, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and urban heat retention. Recent data show light to moderate rain expected, which could moderate afternoon peaks toward 34°C or slightly below while limiting extreme heating, yet variable cloud cover and steering patterns allow room for brief clearing that supports a 35–36°C outcome. Historical August averages hover near 33°C, with occasional spikes higher during drier spells; trader consensus around these thresholds aligns with official guidance emphasizing forecast uncertainty in timing and intensity of precipitation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Volume
$30,427End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models position 34–35°C as the most likely daily maximum in Guangzhou on August 17, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and urban heat retention. Recent data show light to moderate rain expected, which could moderate afternoon peaks toward 34°C or slightly below while limiting extreme heating, yet variable cloud cover and steering patterns allow room for brief clearing that supports a 35–36°C outcome. Historical August averages hover near 33°C, with occasional spikes higher during drier spells; trader consensus around these thresholds aligns with official guidance emphasizing forecast uncertainty in timing and intensity of precipitation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,427End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models position 34–35°C as the most likely daily maximum in Guangzhou on August 17, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and urban heat retention. Recent data show light to moderate rain expected, which could moderate afternoon peaks toward 34°C or slightly below while limiting extreme heating, yet variable cloud cover and steering patterns allow room for brief clearing that supports a 35–36°C outcome. Historical August averages hover near 33°C, with occasional spikes higher during drier spells; trader consensus around these thresholds aligns with official guidance emphasizing forecast uncertainty in timing and intensity of precipitation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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