Current forecast models project a high near 29°C for Jinan on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds, consistent with early-September climatology and recent stable high-pressure patterns. Multiple sources, including AccuWeather and regional guidance, show minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture that would suppress maximum temperatures below the 26°C threshold. This supports the 91% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or persistent cloud cover, though ensemble runs indicate low likelihood through the 48-hour window before resolution at the Yaoqiang International Airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on September 2?
Highest temperature in Jinan on September 2?
26°C or higher 95%
25°C 10%
16°C or below 4%
17°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
95%
26°C or higher 95%
25°C 10%
16°C or below 4%
17°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
17°C
$5 Vol.
4%
18°C
$5 Vol.
4%
19°C
$5 Vol.
4%
20°C
$5 Vol.
4%
21°C
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C
$5 Vol.
4%
23°C
$26 Vol.
1%
24°C
$19 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
10%
26°C or higher
$33 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project a high near 29°C for Jinan on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds, consistent with early-September climatology and recent stable high-pressure patterns. Multiple sources, including AccuWeather and regional guidance, show minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture that would suppress maximum temperatures below the 26°C threshold. This supports the 91% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or persistent cloud cover, though ensemble runs indicate low likelihood through the 48-hour window before resolution at the Yaoqiang International Airport station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$118End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project a high near 29°C for Jinan on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds, consistent with early-September climatology and recent stable high-pressure patterns. Multiple sources, including AccuWeather and regional guidance, show minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture that would suppress maximum temperatures below the 26°C threshold. This supports the 91% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or persistent cloud cover, though ensemble runs indicate low likelihood through the 48-hour window before resolution at the Yaoqiang International Airport station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$118End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models project a high near 29°C for Jinan on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds, consistent with early-September climatology and recent stable high-pressure patterns. Multiple sources, including AccuWeather and regional guidance, show minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture that would suppress maximum temperatures below the 26°C threshold. This supports the 91% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or persistent cloud cover, though ensemble runs indicate low likelihood through the 48-hour window before resolution at the Yaoqiang International Airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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