Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 17–18°C for Jinan on September 2, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge, light northeasterly flow, and seasonal radiative cooling typical of early autumn. This consensus, aligned with historical early-September climatology showing average lows of 16–20°C, underpins the clustered market probabilities around 15–19°C while the elevated weighting on 22°C or higher reflects residual model spread and potential for warmer boundary-layer mixing if winds strengthen slightly. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours, traders are closely tracking the next updated model runs for any shifts in minimum temperature guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 2?
22°C or higher 94%
14°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C or higher
94%
22°C or higher 94%
14°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
12°C or below
$165 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15 Vol.
50%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$20 Vol.
50%
21°C
$5 Vol.
50%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 17–18°C for Jinan on September 2, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge, light northeasterly flow, and seasonal radiative cooling typical of early autumn. This consensus, aligned with historical early-September climatology showing average lows of 16–20°C, underpins the clustered market probabilities around 15–19°C while the elevated weighting on 22°C or higher reflects residual model spread and potential for warmer boundary-layer mixing if winds strengthen slightly. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours, traders are closely tracking the next updated model runs for any shifts in minimum temperature guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$360End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 17–18°C for Jinan on September 2, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge, light northeasterly flow, and seasonal radiative cooling typical of early autumn. This consensus, aligned with historical early-September climatology showing average lows of 16–20°C, underpins the clustered market probabilities around 15–19°C while the elevated weighting on 22°C or higher reflects residual model spread and potential for warmer boundary-layer mixing if winds strengthen slightly. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours, traders are closely tracking the next updated model runs for any shifts in minimum temperature guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$360End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 17–18°C for Jinan on September 2, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge, light northeasterly flow, and seasonal radiative cooling typical of early autumn. This consensus, aligned with historical early-September climatology showing average lows of 16–20°C, underpins the clustered market probabilities around 15–19°C while the elevated weighting on 22°C or higher reflects residual model spread and potential for warmer boundary-layer mixing if winds strengthen slightly. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours, traders are closely tracking the next updated model runs for any shifts in minimum temperature guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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