Forecast models from multiple agencies project a high near 32°C for Jinan on September 23 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow, with clear to partly cloudy skies supporting strong daytime heating. This places the outcome well above the 26°C threshold, aligning with the market's 98.5% implied probability on that bin. Historical September averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects persistent anticyclonic influence rather than typical late-summer variability. Minor cooling from increased cloud cover or a weak frontal passage remains possible but would need rapid model shifts to drop below 26°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 12 hours represent the key data points that could adjust trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on September 23?
Highest temperature in Jinan on September 23?
26°C or higher 99%
22°C 4%
23°C 4%
17°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99%
22°C 4%
23°C 4%
17°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$41 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple agencies project a high near 32°C for Jinan on September 23 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow, with clear to partly cloudy skies supporting strong daytime heating. This places the outcome well above the 26°C threshold, aligning with the market's 98.5% implied probability on that bin. Historical September averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects persistent anticyclonic influence rather than typical late-summer variability. Minor cooling from increased cloud cover or a weak frontal passage remains possible but would need rapid model shifts to drop below 26°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 12 hours represent the key data points that could adjust trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$41End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple agencies project a high near 32°C for Jinan on September 23 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow, with clear to partly cloudy skies supporting strong daytime heating. This places the outcome well above the 26°C threshold, aligning with the market's 98.5% implied probability on that bin. Historical September averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects persistent anticyclonic influence rather than typical late-summer variability. Minor cooling from increased cloud cover or a weak frontal passage remains possible but would need rapid model shifts to drop below 26°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 12 hours represent the key data points that could adjust trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple agencies project a high near 32°C for Jinan on September 23 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow, with clear to partly cloudy skies supporting strong daytime heating. This places the outcome well above the 26°C threshold, aligning with the market's 98.5% implied probability on that bin. Historical September averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects persistent anticyclonic influence rather than typical late-summer variability. Minor cooling from increased cloud cover or a weak frontal passage remains possible but would need rapid model shifts to drop below 26°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 12 hours represent the key data points that could adjust trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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