Forecast models for Jinan on September 23, 2026, indicate a continuation of the current high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that has produced an "autumn tiger" warm spell, with most guidance showing overnight lows near 20–22°C under partly cloudy to clear skies. This setup favors the market-implied 22°C-or-higher outcome near 45% while leaving room for the nearly equal 12°C-or-below probability if a faster-moving cold front or enhanced radiative cooling develops overnight. Ensemble spreads remain wide because short-range models can shift 3–5°C with minor changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction. Historical September climatology centers on lows near 18°C, but the current pattern deviates warmer; traders are therefore weighting both the consensus warm bias and the non-negligible risk of an abrupt cool-down ahead of the next frontal passage later in the week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 23?
22°C or higher 93%
12°C or below 90%
15°C 21%
16°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
12°C or below
90%
13°C
21%
14°C
21%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
21%
18°C
21%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
21%
22°C or higher
93%
22°C or higher 93%
12°C or below 90%
15°C 21%
16°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
12°C or below
$10 Vol.
90%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
21%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C or higher
$10 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Jinan on September 23, 2026, indicate a continuation of the current high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that has produced an "autumn tiger" warm spell, with most guidance showing overnight lows near 20–22°C under partly cloudy to clear skies. This setup favors the market-implied 22°C-or-higher outcome near 45% while leaving room for the nearly equal 12°C-or-below probability if a faster-moving cold front or enhanced radiative cooling develops overnight. Ensemble spreads remain wide because short-range models can shift 3–5°C with minor changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction. Historical September climatology centers on lows near 18°C, but the current pattern deviates warmer; traders are therefore weighting both the consensus warm bias and the non-negligible risk of an abrupt cool-down ahead of the next frontal passage later in the week.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Jinan on September 23, 2026, indicate a continuation of the current high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that has produced an "autumn tiger" warm spell, with most guidance showing overnight lows near 20–22°C under partly cloudy to clear skies. This setup favors the market-implied 22°C-or-higher outcome near 45% while leaving room for the nearly equal 12°C-or-below probability if a faster-moving cold front or enhanced radiative cooling develops overnight. Ensemble spreads remain wide because short-range models can shift 3–5°C with minor changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction. Historical September climatology centers on lows near 18°C, but the current pattern deviates warmer; traders are therefore weighting both the consensus warm bias and the non-negligible risk of an abrupt cool-down ahead of the next frontal passage later in the week.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Jinan on September 23, 2026, indicate a continuation of the current high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that has produced an "autumn tiger" warm spell, with most guidance showing overnight lows near 20–22°C under partly cloudy to clear skies. This setup favors the market-implied 22°C-or-higher outcome near 45% while leaving room for the nearly equal 12°C-or-below probability if a faster-moving cold front or enhanced radiative cooling develops overnight. Ensemble spreads remain wide because short-range models can shift 3–5°C with minor changes in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction. Historical September climatology centers on lows near 18°C, but the current pattern deviates warmer; traders are therefore weighting both the consensus warm bias and the non-negligible risk of an abrupt cool-down ahead of the next frontal passage later in the week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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