Consistent forecast guidance from METMalaysia and global models supports the market's 100% implied probability for a 33°C high in Kuala Lumpur on August 13, aligning with typical August equatorial conditions where daytime maxima average 32–33°C with minimal day-to-day variability. Current observations and short-range guidance indicate partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity levels that limit extreme deviations, while historical data from the region show rare exceedances above 34°C without strong synoptic forcing. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings, which could shift only under localized heavy rainfall or anomalous cloud cover suppressing afternoon peaks, though ensemble agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 13?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$32,089 Vol.
$32,089 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$32,089 Vol.
$32,089 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Consistent forecast guidance from METMalaysia and global models supports the market's 100% implied probability for a 33°C high in Kuala Lumpur on August 13, aligning with typical August equatorial conditions where daytime maxima average 32–33°C with minimal day-to-day variability. Current observations and short-range guidance indicate partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity levels that limit extreme deviations, while historical data from the region show rare exceedances above 34°C without strong synoptic forcing. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings, which could shift only under localized heavy rainfall or anomalous cloud cover suppressing afternoon peaks, though ensemble agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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