Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models currently favor a 25°C daytime maximum in London on June 16 under building high pressure, sunny intervals, and light-to-moderate winds that enhance daytime heating without excessive mixing. Trader consensus clusters around 25–26°C because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer depth can shift the peak by 1°C, while historical June averages near 20°C underscore the above-normal signal from the current synoptic pattern. Lower-probability outcomes below 24°C would require unexpected increased cloud cover or a faster Atlantic front, whereas 27°C+ hinges on clearer skies and stronger insolation than most runs project. Final London City Airport observations will resolve the market as new model cycles refine the forecast through the weekend.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on June 16?
25°C 32%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
27°C 11%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
19%
25°C
32%
26°C
27%
27°C
11%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 32%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
27°C 11%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
19%
25°C
32%
26°C
27%
27°C
11%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Met Office guidance and ensemble models currently favor a 25°C daytime maximum in London on June 16 under building high pressure, sunny intervals, and light-to-moderate winds that enhance daytime heating without excessive mixing. Trader consensus clusters around 25–26°C because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer depth can shift the peak by 1°C, while historical June averages near 20°C underscore the above-normal signal from the current synoptic pattern. Lower-probability outcomes below 24°C would require unexpected increased cloud cover or a faster Atlantic front, whereas 27°C+ hinges on clearer skies and stronger insolation than most runs project. Final London City Airport observations will resolve the market as new model cycles refine the forecast through the weekend.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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