Official National Weather Service observations at the Los Angeles International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 76–77°F on August 16, 2026, locking in full market consensus on that narrow band. This outcome aligns with coastal marine-layer moderation typical for mid-August, where onshore flow and cloud cover often cap highs near the seasonal average of 75–80°F at LAX despite hotter inland readings. Traders rapidly converged once preliminary data and station reports confirmed the exact threshold, as prediction markets price verified meteorological observations rather than forecasts. Only an unreconciled sensor error or resolution-criteria dispute could reopen the outcome, though such revisions remain rare for established NWS airport records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 16?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 16?
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$37,512 Vol.
$37,512 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$37,512 Vol.
$37,512 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
67°F or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$464 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$626 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,829 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$9,093 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$7,677 Vol.
100%
78-79°F
$6,637 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,803 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$3,940 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,216 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$3,120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at the Los Angeles International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 76–77°F on August 16, 2026, locking in full market consensus on that narrow band. This outcome aligns with coastal marine-layer moderation typical for mid-August, where onshore flow and cloud cover often cap highs near the seasonal average of 75–80°F at LAX despite hotter inland readings. Traders rapidly converged once preliminary data and station reports confirmed the exact threshold, as prediction markets price verified meteorological observations rather than forecasts. Only an unreconciled sensor error or resolution-criteria dispute could reopen the outcome, though such revisions remain rare for established NWS airport records.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$37,512End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at the Los Angeles International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 76–77°F on August 16, 2026, locking in full market consensus on that narrow band. This outcome aligns with coastal marine-layer moderation typical for mid-August, where onshore flow and cloud cover often cap highs near the seasonal average of 75–80°F at LAX despite hotter inland readings. Traders rapidly converged once preliminary data and station reports confirmed the exact threshold, as prediction markets price verified meteorological observations rather than forecasts. Only an unreconciled sensor error or resolution-criteria dispute could reopen the outcome, though such revisions remain rare for established NWS airport records.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,512End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations at the Los Angeles International Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 76–77°F on August 16, 2026, locking in full market consensus on that narrow band. This outcome aligns with coastal marine-layer moderation typical for mid-August, where onshore flow and cloud cover often cap highs near the seasonal average of 75–80°F at LAX despite hotter inland readings. Traders rapidly converged once preliminary data and station reports confirmed the exact threshold, as prediction markets price verified meteorological observations rather than forecasts. Only an unreconciled sensor error or resolution-criteria dispute could reopen the outcome, though such revisions remain rare for established NWS airport records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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