Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific continue to moderate temperatures across Los Angeles on August 16, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to a high near 76–77°F at coastal and downtown stations. This setup suppresses afternoon heating below the seasonal 82–85°F average by enhancing cloud cover and advecting cooler air inland, consistent with the market’s 70.5% implied probability for that bracket. Limited offshore wind development or earlier marine layer burn-off could allow modest warming into the upper 70s, while any strengthening of the sea breeze would reinforce the lower outcome; traders are monitoring the latest NWS update and afternoon observations for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 16?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 16?
76-77°F 70%
78-79°F 19%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
70%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 70%
78-79°F 19%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
67°F or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$386 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$305 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$410 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$1,636 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$1,749 Vol.
70%
78-79°F
$2,038 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$318 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$170 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$667 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,505 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific continue to moderate temperatures across Los Angeles on August 16, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to a high near 76–77°F at coastal and downtown stations. This setup suppresses afternoon heating below the seasonal 82–85°F average by enhancing cloud cover and advecting cooler air inland, consistent with the market’s 70.5% implied probability for that bracket. Limited offshore wind development or earlier marine layer burn-off could allow modest warming into the upper 70s, while any strengthening of the sea breeze would reinforce the lower outcome; traders are monitoring the latest NWS update and afternoon observations for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$9,293End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific continue to moderate temperatures across Los Angeles on August 16, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to a high near 76–77°F at coastal and downtown stations. This setup suppresses afternoon heating below the seasonal 82–85°F average by enhancing cloud cover and advecting cooler air inland, consistent with the market’s 70.5% implied probability for that bracket. Limited offshore wind development or earlier marine layer burn-off could allow modest warming into the upper 70s, while any strengthening of the sea breeze would reinforce the lower outcome; traders are monitoring the latest NWS update and afternoon observations for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,293End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific continue to moderate temperatures across Los Angeles on August 16, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to a high near 76–77°F at coastal and downtown stations. This setup suppresses afternoon heating below the seasonal 82–85°F average by enhancing cloud cover and advecting cooler air inland, consistent with the market’s 70.5% implied probability for that bracket. Limited offshore wind development or earlier marine layer burn-off could allow modest warming into the upper 70s, while any strengthening of the sea breeze would reinforce the lower outcome; traders are monitoring the latest NWS update and afternoon observations for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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