PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila on August 8 projects a daily maximum of 29°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms driven by easterlies and the southwest monsoon. These conditions promote daytime cloud cover and convection that limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the 31–32°C seasonal average or higher clear-sky potential. Recent observations show similar moderation, with highs of 28–32°C amid frequent humidity and precipitation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 29°C (followed by 28°C at 28.5%), aligns with this model guidance and the low likelihood of extreme outliers given ongoing atmospheric patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 8?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 8?
29°C 49%
28°C 29%
30°C 16%
31°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
29%
29°C
49%
30°C
16%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 49%
28°C 29%
30°C 16%
31°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
24°C or below
$500 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$546 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$525 Vol.
2%
27°C
$544 Vol.
3%
28°C
$2,060 Vol.
29%
29°C
$1,398 Vol.
49%
30°C
$1,051 Vol.
16%
31°C
$1,180 Vol.
3%
32°C
$422 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$556 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$684 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila on August 8 projects a daily maximum of 29°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms driven by easterlies and the southwest monsoon. These conditions promote daytime cloud cover and convection that limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the 31–32°C seasonal average or higher clear-sky potential. Recent observations show similar moderation, with highs of 28–32°C amid frequent humidity and precipitation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 29°C (followed by 28°C at 28.5%), aligns with this model guidance and the low likelihood of extreme outliers given ongoing atmospheric patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$9,465End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila on August 8 projects a daily maximum of 29°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms driven by easterlies and the southwest monsoon. These conditions promote daytime cloud cover and convection that limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the 31–32°C seasonal average or higher clear-sky potential. Recent observations show similar moderation, with highs of 28–32°C amid frequent humidity and precipitation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 29°C (followed by 28°C at 28.5%), aligns with this model guidance and the low likelihood of extreme outliers given ongoing atmospheric patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,465End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila on August 8 projects a daily maximum of 29°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms driven by easterlies and the southwest monsoon. These conditions promote daytime cloud cover and convection that limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the 31–32°C seasonal average or higher clear-sky potential. Recent observations show similar moderation, with highs of 28–32°C amid frequent humidity and precipitation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48.5% implied probability for 29°C (followed by 28°C at 28.5%), aligns with this model guidance and the low likelihood of extreme outliers given ongoing atmospheric patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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