Recent forecasts from AccuWeather, Weather25, and similar models project Mexico City's June 15 daytime high near 24–26°C, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around those levels and the long-term June average of roughly 25–26°C. High elevation near 2,240 meters inherently caps maxima, while the onset of the wet season brings increased cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon showers that further moderate temperatures through reduced solar heating. Current model consensus shows no strong ridge or clear-sky setup that would push readings above 27°C, keeping probabilities for 28°C+ very low. Updated runs over the next 24 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
26℃ 41%
25℃ 30%
24°C 11%
27℃ 9%
20°C以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23℃
4%
24°C
11%
25℃
30%
26℃
41%
27℃
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30℃以上
1%
26℃ 41%
25℃ 30%
24°C 11%
27℃ 9%
20°C以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23℃
4%
24°C
11%
25℃
30%
26℃
41%
27℃
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from AccuWeather, Weather25, and similar models project Mexico City's June 15 daytime high near 24–26°C, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around those levels and the long-term June average of roughly 25–26°C. High elevation near 2,240 meters inherently caps maxima, while the onset of the wet season brings increased cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon showers that further moderate temperatures through reduced solar heating. Current model consensus shows no strong ridge or clear-sky setup that would push readings above 27°C, keeping probabilities for 28°C+ very low. Updated runs over the next 24 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問