Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a Miami high near 90-92°F on July 23 under persistent subtropical ridging, with sea-breeze convergence and scattered afternoon convection acting as the main moderating influences. This aligns with July climatological normals of 91°F while allowing for modest upward variability if boundary-layer mixing strengthens or cloud cover remains limited. Current ensemble spreads show low probability of extremes above 94°F or below 89°F, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward the 90-93°F range. Updated short-range guidance and morning soundings on July 23 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on July 23?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 23?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$36,983 Vol.
$36,983 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$36,983 Vol.
$36,983 Vol.
Jul 23, 2026
79°F or below
$487 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,422 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$555 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$531 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,701 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$3,920 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$13,920 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$8,070 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$3,393 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$1,812 Vol.
No
98°F or higher
$1,171 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a Miami high near 90-92°F on July 23 under persistent subtropical ridging, with sea-breeze convergence and scattered afternoon convection acting as the main moderating influences. This aligns with July climatological normals of 91°F while allowing for modest upward variability if boundary-layer mixing strengthens or cloud cover remains limited. Current ensemble spreads show low probability of extremes above 94°F or below 89°F, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward the 90-93°F range. Updated short-range guidance and morning soundings on July 23 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$36,983End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a Miami high near 90-92°F on July 23 under persistent subtropical ridging, with sea-breeze convergence and scattered afternoon convection acting as the main moderating influences. This aligns with July climatological normals of 91°F while allowing for modest upward variability if boundary-layer mixing strengthens or cloud cover remains limited. Current ensemble spreads show low probability of extremes above 94°F or below 89°F, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward the 90-93°F range. Updated short-range guidance and morning soundings on July 23 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,983End Date
Jul 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a Miami high near 90-92°F on July 23 under persistent subtropical ridging, with sea-breeze convergence and scattered afternoon convection acting as the main moderating influences. This aligns with July climatological normals of 91°F while allowing for modest upward variability if boundary-layer mixing strengthens or cloud cover remains limited. Current ensemble spreads show low probability of extremes above 94°F or below 89°F, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward the 90-93°F range. Updated short-range guidance and morning soundings on July 23 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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