Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 16 point to sunny skies with a high near 93°F, aligning with the normal maximum of 91°F and recent observed highs around that level. The tight 50-50 split between the 92-93°F and 94-95°F bins reflects uncertainty over whether afternoon sea breezes or isolated thunderstorms will cap the peak or allow brief pushes into the mid-90s, consistent with typical late-summer patterns of high humidity and variable convection. Heat indices near 105°F underscore the role of moisture in perceived conditions, while model consensus and climatological data limit odds of extremes outside the low-to-mid 90s. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations will refine these thresholds as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 16?
92-93°F 51%
94-95°F 44%
96-97°F 2%
90-91°F 1.0%
NEW
$10,079 Vol.
NEW
$10,079 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
51%
94-95°F
44%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 51%
94-95°F 44%
96-97°F 2%
90-91°F 1.0%
NEW
$10,079 Vol.
NEW
$10,079 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
85°F or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$406 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$584 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,056 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$4,031 Vol.
51%
94-95°F
$2,457 Vol.
44%
96-97°F
$712 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$415 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$290 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$206 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$143 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 16 point to sunny skies with a high near 93°F, aligning with the normal maximum of 91°F and recent observed highs around that level. The tight 50-50 split between the 92-93°F and 94-95°F bins reflects uncertainty over whether afternoon sea breezes or isolated thunderstorms will cap the peak or allow brief pushes into the mid-90s, consistent with typical late-summer patterns of high humidity and variable convection. Heat indices near 105°F underscore the role of moisture in perceived conditions, while model consensus and climatological data limit odds of extremes outside the low-to-mid 90s. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations will refine these thresholds as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$10,079End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 16 point to sunny skies with a high near 93°F, aligning with the normal maximum of 91°F and recent observed highs around that level. The tight 50-50 split between the 92-93°F and 94-95°F bins reflects uncertainty over whether afternoon sea breezes or isolated thunderstorms will cap the peak or allow brief pushes into the mid-90s, consistent with typical late-summer patterns of high humidity and variable convection. Heat indices near 105°F underscore the role of moisture in perceived conditions, while model consensus and climatological data limit odds of extremes outside the low-to-mid 90s. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations will refine these thresholds as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,079End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 16 point to sunny skies with a high near 93°F, aligning with the normal maximum of 91°F and recent observed highs around that level. The tight 50-50 split between the 92-93°F and 94-95°F bins reflects uncertainty over whether afternoon sea breezes or isolated thunderstorms will cap the peak or allow brief pushes into the mid-90s, consistent with typical late-summer patterns of high humidity and variable convection. Heat indices near 105°F underscore the role of moisture in perceived conditions, while model consensus and climatological data limit odds of extremes outside the low-to-mid 90s. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations will refine these thresholds as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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