Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C for Panama City’s August 2 maximum stems from wet-season convection patterns, where ITCZ-driven afternoon thunderstorms and humidity typically cap diurnal heating near the 29–30°C climatological average yet permit brief spikes under partly cloudy gaps. Ensemble guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF shows modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and precipitation intensity, with clearer intervals or delayed storms supporting the slight edge for 33°C over 32°C. Historical August data indicate extremes above 34°C remain rare without anomalous subsidence, while official monitoring highlights ongoing high humidity and scattered showers as the dominant moderating influences ahead of the next forecast update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 2?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 2?
33°C 41%
32°C 37%
31°C 17%
30°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
37%
33°C
41%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 41%
32°C 37%
31°C 17%
30°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
27°C or below
$87 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$70 Vol.
1%
29°C
$201 Vol.
2%
30°C
$98 Vol.
4%
31°C
$193 Vol.
17%
32°C
$235 Vol.
37%
33°C
$948 Vol.
41%
34°C
$144 Vol.
4%
35°C
$122 Vol.
2%
36°C
$205 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$129 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C for Panama City’s August 2 maximum stems from wet-season convection patterns, where ITCZ-driven afternoon thunderstorms and humidity typically cap diurnal heating near the 29–30°C climatological average yet permit brief spikes under partly cloudy gaps. Ensemble guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF shows modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and precipitation intensity, with clearer intervals or delayed storms supporting the slight edge for 33°C over 32°C. Historical August data indicate extremes above 34°C remain rare without anomalous subsidence, while official monitoring highlights ongoing high humidity and scattered showers as the dominant moderating influences ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,431End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C for Panama City’s August 2 maximum stems from wet-season convection patterns, where ITCZ-driven afternoon thunderstorms and humidity typically cap diurnal heating near the 29–30°C climatological average yet permit brief spikes under partly cloudy gaps. Ensemble guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF shows modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and precipitation intensity, with clearer intervals or delayed storms supporting the slight edge for 33°C over 32°C. Historical August data indicate extremes above 34°C remain rare without anomalous subsidence, while official monitoring highlights ongoing high humidity and scattered showers as the dominant moderating influences ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,431End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C for Panama City’s August 2 maximum stems from wet-season convection patterns, where ITCZ-driven afternoon thunderstorms and humidity typically cap diurnal heating near the 29–30°C climatological average yet permit brief spikes under partly cloudy gaps. Ensemble guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF shows modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and precipitation intensity, with clearer intervals or delayed storms supporting the slight edge for 33°C over 32°C. Historical August data indicate extremes above 34°C remain rare without anomalous subsidence, while official monitoring highlights ongoing high humidity and scattered showers as the dominant moderating influences ahead of the next forecast update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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