Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a partly cloudy day on August 3 with daytime highs of 27–35 °C, consistent with climatological August averages near 33–34 °C for Taipei. Trader consensus clustering around 36–37 °C reflects uncertainty in afternoon peak timing, urban heat-island amplification within the city basin, and possible reductions in cloud cover or rainfall that could allow slightly greater insolation. Subtropical ridge positioning and typical monsoon moisture patterns usually cap extremes, yet small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing can produce 1–2 °C variability around the guidance. Updated model runs and official bulletins expected over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 3?
37°C 35%
36°C 33%
38°C 17%
35°C 13%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
5%
35°C
13%
36°C
33%
37°C
35%
38°C
17%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
3%
37°C 35%
36°C 33%
38°C 17%
35°C 13%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
5%
35°C
13%
36°C
33%
37°C
35%
38°C
17%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a partly cloudy day on August 3 with daytime highs of 27–35 °C, consistent with climatological August averages near 33–34 °C for Taipei. Trader consensus clustering around 36–37 °C reflects uncertainty in afternoon peak timing, urban heat-island amplification within the city basin, and possible reductions in cloud cover or rainfall that could allow slightly greater insolation. Subtropical ridge positioning and typical monsoon moisture patterns usually cap extremes, yet small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing can produce 1–2 °C variability around the guidance. Updated model runs and official bulletins expected over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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