**Market-implied odds favor a high of 33°C (61%) or 34°C (21%) for Tel Aviv on August 29, reflecting ensemble forecasts from multiple models showing peak daytime temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s °C.** Official outlooks from the Israel Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions under a lingering subtropical ridge, with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting efficient solar heating. Sea surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean remain above seasonal norms, contributing to elevated baseline warmth. A slight easing from the mid-August heat wave has occurred, yet readings stay modestly above the long-term August average of ~29–30°C. Model consensus points to limited cooling until an incoming disturbance brings possible showers overnight, keeping the daily maximum firmly in the 32–34°C range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
33°C 62%
34°C 21%
32°C 12%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
62%
34°C
21%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 62%
34°C 21%
32°C 12%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
$208 Vol.
1%
30°C
$49 Vol.
1%
31°C
$246 Vol.
2%
32°C
$708 Vol.
12%
33°C
$1,129 Vol.
62%
34°C
$1,140 Vol.
21%
35°C
$302 Vol.
1%
36°C
$151 Vol.
1%
37°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$335 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$190 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a high of 33°C (61%) or 34°C (21%) for Tel Aviv on August 29, reflecting ensemble forecasts from multiple models showing peak daytime temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s °C.**
Official outlooks from the Israel Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions under a lingering subtropical ridge, with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting efficient solar heating. Sea surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean remain above seasonal norms, contributing to elevated baseline warmth. A slight easing from the mid-August heat wave has occurred, yet readings stay modestly above the long-term August average of ~29–30°C. Model consensus points to limited cooling until an incoming disturbance brings possible showers overnight, keeping the daily maximum firmly in the 32–34°C range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,627End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a high of 33°C (61%) or 34°C (21%) for Tel Aviv on August 29, reflecting ensemble forecasts from multiple models showing peak daytime temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s °C.**
Official outlooks from the Israel Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions under a lingering subtropical ridge, with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting efficient solar heating. Sea surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean remain above seasonal norms, contributing to elevated baseline warmth. A slight easing from the mid-August heat wave has occurred, yet readings stay modestly above the long-term August average of ~29–30°C. Model consensus points to limited cooling until an incoming disturbance brings possible showers overnight, keeping the daily maximum firmly in the 32–34°C range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,627End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a high of 33°C (61%) or 34°C (21%) for Tel Aviv on August 29, reflecting ensemble forecasts from multiple models showing peak daytime temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s °C.** Official outlooks from the Israel Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions under a lingering subtropical ridge, with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting efficient solar heating. Sea surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean remain above seasonal norms, contributing to elevated baseline warmth. A slight easing from the mid-August heat wave has occurred, yet readings stay modestly above the long-term August average of ~29–30°C. Model consensus points to limited cooling until an incoming disturbance brings possible showers overnight, keeping the daily maximum firmly in the 32–34°C range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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