Current forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 29 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, aligning with late-summer climatology where Mediterranean coastal humidity and sea breezes moderate overnight cooling. Trader consensus favoring 28°C or higher or exactly 25°C reflects this warm baseline and recent observations of minima near 23–26°C, while the notable share on 18°C or below captures uncertainty around potential model shifts or localized cooling ahead of forecast rain and thunderstorms later in the weekend. Key differentiating factors include wind patterns, cloud cover, and dew points that limit radiative cooling in this urban coastal setting, with new observational data and updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
18°C or below 80%
26°C 47%
27°C 41%
28°C or higher 39%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
18°C or below
80%
19°C
4%
20°C
24%
21°C
8%
22°C
10%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
29%
26°C
47%
27°C
41%
28°C or higher
39%
18°C or below 80%
26°C 47%
27°C 41%
28°C or higher 39%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
80%
19°C
$135 Vol.
4%
20°C
$5 Vol.
24%
21°C
$31 Vol.
8%
22°C
$26 Vol.
10%
23°C
$44 Vol.
26%
24°C
$26 Vol.
26%
25°C
$36 Vol.
29%
26°C
$36 Vol.
47%
27°C
$10 Vol.
41%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 29 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, aligning with late-summer climatology where Mediterranean coastal humidity and sea breezes moderate overnight cooling. Trader consensus favoring 28°C or higher or exactly 25°C reflects this warm baseline and recent observations of minima near 23–26°C, while the notable share on 18°C or below captures uncertainty around potential model shifts or localized cooling ahead of forecast rain and thunderstorms later in the weekend. Key differentiating factors include wind patterns, cloud cover, and dew points that limit radiative cooling in this urban coastal setting, with new observational data and updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$360End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 29 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, aligning with late-summer climatology where Mediterranean coastal humidity and sea breezes moderate overnight cooling. Trader consensus favoring 28°C or higher or exactly 25°C reflects this warm baseline and recent observations of minima near 23–26°C, while the notable share on 18°C or below captures uncertainty around potential model shifts or localized cooling ahead of forecast rain and thunderstorms later in the weekend. Key differentiating factors include wind patterns, cloud cover, and dew points that limit radiative cooling in this urban coastal setting, with new observational data and updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$360End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 29 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, aligning with late-summer climatology where Mediterranean coastal humidity and sea breezes moderate overnight cooling. Trader consensus favoring 28°C or higher or exactly 25°C reflects this warm baseline and recent observations of minima near 23–26°C, while the notable share on 18°C or below captures uncertainty around potential model shifts or localized cooling ahead of forecast rain and thunderstorms later in the weekend. Key differentiating factors include wind patterns, cloud cover, and dew points that limit radiative cooling in this urban coastal setting, with new observational data and updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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