Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a high likelihood of 32–34°C maximum temperatures in Wuhan on September 6, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's humid subtropical climate in early September. Current observations show a warming trend from 29–31°C highs on September 4–5, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability supporting further intensification. Historical September maxima average near 30–32°C, though recent years have trended warmer; model consensus favors 33°C as the mode while acknowledging small uncertainties from potential minor convective development or measurement variations at official stations. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 6?
33°C 49%
34°C 27%
32°C 15%
35°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
15%
33°C
49%
34°C
27%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 49%
34°C 27%
32°C 15%
35°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
28°C or below
$438 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$158 Vol.
2%
31°C
$154 Vol.
4%
32°C
$986 Vol.
15%
33°C
$1,943 Vol.
49%
34°C
$291 Vol.
27%
35°C
$656 Vol.
6%
36°C
$229 Vol.
2%
37°C
$0 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$403 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a high likelihood of 32–34°C maximum temperatures in Wuhan on September 6, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's humid subtropical climate in early September. Current observations show a warming trend from 29–31°C highs on September 4–5, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability supporting further intensification. Historical September maxima average near 30–32°C, though recent years have trended warmer; model consensus favors 33°C as the mode while acknowledging small uncertainties from potential minor convective development or measurement variations at official stations. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,592End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a high likelihood of 32–34°C maximum temperatures in Wuhan on September 6, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's humid subtropical climate in early September. Current observations show a warming trend from 29–31°C highs on September 4–5, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability supporting further intensification. Historical September maxima average near 30–32°C, though recent years have trended warmer; model consensus favors 33°C as the mode while acknowledging small uncertainties from potential minor convective development or measurement variations at official stations. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,592End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a high likelihood of 32–34°C maximum temperatures in Wuhan on September 6, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's humid subtropical climate in early September. Current observations show a warming trend from 29–31°C highs on September 4–5, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation probability supporting further intensification. Historical September maxima average near 30–32°C, though recent years have trended warmer; model consensus favors 33°C as the mode while acknowledging small uncertainties from potential minor convective development or measurement variations at official stations. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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