Diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran, including an interim accord reached in June 2026, have centered on restoring IAEA access to enrichment facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz following 2025 strikes and subsequent limits on inspections. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated that inspectors will visit under the agreement and that modalities, dates, and sites are under discussion, while Iran has linked full access to a final deal and sanctions relief. The IAEA Board adopted a resolution in June urging cooperation on safeguards and verification of enriched uranium stockpiles, with reports noting prior inspections at unaffected sites like Bushehr but continued restrictions at the three targeted locations. Ongoing talks and any new bilateral announcements remain the main variables that could determine whether visits occur in the near term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
$348,717 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
August 31
1%
October 31
15%
December 31
22%
$348,717 Vol.
August 31
$52,844 Vol.
1%
October 31
$77,203 Vol.
15%
December 31
$25,347 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran, including an interim accord reached in June 2026, have centered on restoring IAEA access to enrichment facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz following 2025 strikes and subsequent limits on inspections. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated that inspectors will visit under the agreement and that modalities, dates, and sites are under discussion, while Iran has linked full access to a final deal and sanctions relief. The IAEA Board adopted a resolution in June urging cooperation on safeguards and verification of enriched uranium stockpiles, with reports noting prior inspections at unaffected sites like Bushehr but continued restrictions at the three targeted locations. Ongoing talks and any new bilateral announcements remain the main variables that could determine whether visits occur in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Volume
$348,717End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran, including an interim accord reached in June 2026, have centered on restoring IAEA access to enrichment facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz following 2025 strikes and subsequent limits on inspections. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated that inspectors will visit under the agreement and that modalities, dates, and sites are under discussion, while Iran has linked full access to a final deal and sanctions relief. The IAEA Board adopted a resolution in June urging cooperation on safeguards and verification of enriched uranium stockpiles, with reports noting prior inspections at unaffected sites like Bushehr but continued restrictions at the three targeted locations. Ongoing talks and any new bilateral announcements remain the main variables that could determine whether visits occur in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$348,717End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran, including an interim accord reached in June 2026, have centered on restoring IAEA access to enrichment facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz following 2025 strikes and subsequent limits on inspections. IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated that inspectors will visit under the agreement and that modalities, dates, and sites are under discussion, while Iran has linked full access to a final deal and sanctions relief. The IAEA Board adopted a resolution in June urging cooperation on safeguards and verification of enriched uranium stockpiles, with reports noting prior inspections at unaffected sites like Bushehr but continued restrictions at the three targeted locations. Ongoing talks and any new bilateral announcements remain the main variables that could determine whether visits occur in the near term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions