**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts by the Khamenei account during the September 11–18, 2026 window, reflecting consistent historical patterns of low activity on X.** Official accounts tied to the position, including @khamenei_ir and related language versions, have shown posting rates often below one per day in recent tracking, with many days inactive outside scheduled or archival content. Memorial and routine religious or historical material continues on platforms like Eitaa, but X output remains sparse amid the post-assassination transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader. This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with observed base rates rather than short-term spikes. A major escalation in regional tensions, official policy announcement, or coordinated propaganda push could increase volume and shift brackets, though no such catalyst has materialized in the current resolution period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Khamenei # posts September 11 - September 18, 2026?
<5 97.4%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
45-49 <1%
$18,375 Vol.
$18,375 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
<5
97%
5-9
1%
10-14
<1%
15-19
<1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 97.4%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
45-49 <1%
$18,375 Vol.
$18,375 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
<5
$5,644 Vol.
97%
5-9
$2,257 Vol.
1%
10-14
$1,678 Vol.
<1%
15-19
$1,312 Vol.
<1%
20-24
$1,487 Vol.
<1%
25-29
$1,207 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$1,497 Vol.
<1%
35-39
$720 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$509 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$580 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$469 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$518 Vol.
<1%
60+
$497 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts by the Khamenei account during the September 11–18, 2026 window, reflecting consistent historical patterns of low activity on X.**
Official accounts tied to the position, including @khamenei_ir and related language versions, have shown posting rates often below one per day in recent tracking, with many days inactive outside scheduled or archival content. Memorial and routine religious or historical material continues on platforms like Eitaa, but X output remains sparse amid the post-assassination transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader.
This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with observed base rates rather than short-term spikes. A major escalation in regional tensions, official policy announcement, or coordinated propaganda push could increase volume and shift brackets, though no such catalyst has materialized in the current resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$18,375End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts by the Khamenei account during the September 11–18, 2026 window, reflecting consistent historical patterns of low activity on X.**
Official accounts tied to the position, including @khamenei_ir and related language versions, have shown posting rates often below one per day in recent tracking, with many days inactive outside scheduled or archival content. Memorial and routine religious or historical material continues on platforms like Eitaa, but X output remains sparse amid the post-assassination transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader.
This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with observed base rates rather than short-term spikes. A major escalation in regional tensions, official policy announcement, or coordinated propaganda push could increase volume and shift brackets, though no such catalyst has materialized in the current resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$18,375End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts by the Khamenei account during the September 11–18, 2026 window, reflecting consistent historical patterns of low activity on X.** Official accounts tied to the position, including @khamenei_ir and related language versions, have shown posting rates often below one per day in recent tracking, with many days inactive outside scheduled or archival content. Memorial and routine religious or historical material continues on platforms like Eitaa, but X output remains sparse amid the post-assassination transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader. This skin-in-the-game pricing aligns with observed base rates rather than short-term spikes. A major escalation in regional tensions, official policy announcement, or coordinated propaganda push could increase volume and shift brackets, though no such catalyst has materialized in the current resolution period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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