**Persistent cloud cover, showers, and moderate northerly to northwesterly winds associated with a nearby tropical cyclone and the northeast monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Hong Kong.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) project a September 2 minimum near 25–26 °C, with dew points remaining in the low-to-mid 20s and relative humidity above 80 % through the night. These conditions suppress the usual diurnal temperature drop, making 26 °C the modal outcome at 48.5 % implied probability, followed by 25 °C (30 %) and 24 °C (14 %). Recent model consensus shows little change in steering flow or moisture, so traders have converged on this narrow range; any unexpected clearing or stronger onshore flow could allow slightly lower readings, but current data favor the mid-20s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
26°C 48%
25°C 30%
24°C 14%
29°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
30%
26°C
48%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
25°C 30%
24°C 14%
29°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
$299 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$487 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$294 Vol.
5%
24°C
$301 Vol.
14%
25°C
$259 Vol.
30%
26°C
$633 Vol.
48%
27°C
$404 Vol.
7%
28°C
$120 Vol.
4%
29°C
$40 Vol.
7%
30°C
$25 Vol.
7%
31°C or higher
$324 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent cloud cover, showers, and moderate northerly to northwesterly winds associated with a nearby tropical cyclone and the northeast monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Hong Kong.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) project a September 2 minimum near 25–26 °C, with dew points remaining in the low-to-mid 20s and relative humidity above 80 % through the night. These conditions suppress the usual diurnal temperature drop, making 26 °C the modal outcome at 48.5 % implied probability, followed by 25 °C (30 %) and 24 °C (14 %). Recent model consensus shows little change in steering flow or moisture, so traders have converged on this narrow range; any unexpected clearing or stronger onshore flow could allow slightly lower readings, but current data favor the mid-20s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,185End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent cloud cover, showers, and moderate northerly to northwesterly winds associated with a nearby tropical cyclone and the northeast monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Hong Kong.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) project a September 2 minimum near 25–26 °C, with dew points remaining in the low-to-mid 20s and relative humidity above 80 % through the night. These conditions suppress the usual diurnal temperature drop, making 26 °C the modal outcome at 48.5 % implied probability, followed by 25 °C (30 %) and 24 °C (14 %). Recent model consensus shows little change in steering flow or moisture, so traders have converged on this narrow range; any unexpected clearing or stronger onshore flow could allow slightly lower readings, but current data favor the mid-20s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,185End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, showers, and moderate northerly to northwesterly winds associated with a nearby tropical cyclone and the northeast monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Hong Kong.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) project a September 2 minimum near 25–26 °C, with dew points remaining in the low-to-mid 20s and relative humidity above 80 % through the night. These conditions suppress the usual diurnal temperature drop, making 26 °C the modal outcome at 48.5 % implied probability, followed by 25 °C (30 %) and 24 °C (14 %). Recent model consensus shows little change in steering flow or moisture, so traders have converged on this narrow range; any unexpected clearing or stronger onshore flow could allow slightly lower readings, but current data favor the mid-20s.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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